Simulated 🌋 may be blowing up our ability to predict near-term climate, according to a new NCAR study. This study shows that the way volcanic eruptions are represented in climate models may be obscuring its ability to make decadal predictions. 🤯 news.ucar.edu/132890/predict…

In a new EarthSystemDynamics paper by Dr Nicola Maher, w/ coauthors Pedro DiNezio, Jeremy Klavans, Sebastian Milinski (@sebmilinski.bsky.social), Sara Sanchez, Sam Stevenson, Malte Stuecker, Xian Wu, & myself, we use climate model ensembles to investigate: How will the El Niño-Southern Oscillation change in the future?

🚨Seeking Postdoctoral Researcher 🚨with experience in machine learning in weather & climate to join our group at the University of Hawaiʻi. Based in Honolulu or remote. Review of applications starts 28JUN; position open until filled. Apply here: tinyurl.com/39yvruwm

Check out our article on #ENSO hindcasts back to the late 1800s npj Journals climate and atmospheric science. This study utilised a very simple pattern recognition tool, called model-analog technique, to investigate the forecast skill of ENSO. Full paper rdcu.be/dgPyP

I was invited to write this commentary for a paper (go.nature.com/3O75JCl) by Geng et al. on CMIP6 model projections of multiyear La Nina events under global warming. Check it out!

SMYLE– we’re predicting a super El Niño this year, based on our Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) system! 😆Based on an experimental prediction system verified w/ historical data, NCAR researchers predict that the average Niño 3.4 Index will peak at +2.4 degrees C. 🧵

Come work with me on improving our understanding of tropical Pacific air-sea interaction and ocean processes! We're advertising a 2 year postdoc position ucar.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/UCAR_Careers/j…

Discussion open for comments: Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: A multi-model analysis doi.org/10.5194/esd-20…

New research article: Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: a multi-model analysis doi.org/10.5194/esd-15…

If you study ENSO and tropical climate interactions, consider submitting to our #AGU24 session! We're excited to have Xian Wu and Shang-Ping Xie as our invited speakers!

🚨 Retweet appreciated! 🚨 My lab Northeastern U. is seeking 1-2 fully funded #PhD students in Climate Modeling and Dynamics beginning Fall 2025. Let’s explore global climate change and variability together! DDL: Dec 1, 2024. For more details, visit yefee.github.io/PhD/.

A new study by CIMES postdoc Qinxue Gu and her collaborators explores multiyear-to-decadal North Atlantic sea level predictability and prediction using a self-organizing map-based framework. Check it out here: nature.com/articles/s4161…

I’m recruiting a graduate student to conduct research in climate science and atmospheric physics beginning in Fall 2025 Illinois CliMAS University of Illinois Please see the details below. Feel free to reach out. I appreciate anyone spreading the word!

The position is still open! We are going to start reviewing candidates soon.

Applications are now open for our *paid* summer internship program! At NOAA_GFDL, I’ll be mentoring one of the projects related to near-term changes in heavy rainfall & the associated risks for local communities. ➡️ Apply here cimes.princeton.edu/education-outr… & more posts on bluesky

Check out our new paper, "Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability is dominated by oceanic Rossby waves"! We explored the oceanic mechanisms driving TPDV predictability using observations, CESM1 simulations & decadal hindcasts. nature.com/articles/s4161…

Nature research paper: Tropical response to ocean circulation slowdown raises future drought risk go.nature.com/3HeV3ls