With the core of the ridge centered over the northeast US, an exceptionally hot airmass is expected to be advected into the Northeast US & southeast Canada. There's widespread non-zero probabilities of record June heat next week: x.com/NWSWPC/status/…

The Climate Prediction Center has updated the temperature and precipitation forecasts for the month of August CPC forecasts can be found at cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/forec…

Tropical cyclone development is possible from the Gulf of Mexico to the central Atlantic mid to late Aug. Higher chances (40 to 60%) north of the Greater and Lesser Antilles in mid Aug shifting to the central Atlantic by late Aug. Monitor the situation by following National Hurricane Center!

❗️ Hurricane season: the latest weekly guidance has a *very* favorable look for the Atlantic and Africa in the weeks ahead. A pulse of convection (🟢) will give a boost to a disturbance moving into the Caribbean next week - this one certainly bears watching for the U.S. in about

The ACE range in the NOAA update of 165-245 is large (big error bars), but it's pretty amazing that the "floor" is still a hyperactive season like 2010. We're at 40 ACE already (thanks to Beryl), and large-scale factors look very favorable still. All signs point to a busy peak.

Tropical cyclone development in the Atlantic is becoming more likely toward the end of August and early September. Visit cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/preci… for more information on this outlook and follow National Hurricane Center!

🔵 Not one, but two cool, Canadian air masses will grace the eastern U.S. during early September 😌 Quite a contrast to what has been a very humid summer. It will feel like October at times! 🎃

Late September into early October is likely going to be put up or shut up time for the Atlantic, as the MJO moves over the basin during the termination phase of the West African Monsoon. Despite the equatorward shift in the ITCZ, presumably favorable (ish) shear, & increasing

Our taste of Autumn will be short lived, as summer will return later this week and extend into at least early NEXT week. The coming warmth will include daily above normal temperatures in the 80s along with daily sun filled skies.

La Nina is favored to emerge in September-November (71% chance) and is expected to persist through January-March 2025. A #LaNina Watch remains in effect. #ENSO cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy…

NHC will initiate advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, at 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC).

The plane investigating #Milton just transmitted an incredible Vortex Data Message (VDM), noting that the storm possesses "SUSTAINED MDT, OCNL SVR TURB IN NW AND NE EYEWALLS, OBSERVED FLOCKS OF BIRDS WITHIN THE EYE". Just wild to see this.

hey - weather looks good for rare birds - starting next week - through late Oct - at least!!!

Unfortunately I can confirm the rumors going around today since I received "the email"...I don't want to make any comments other than I am exploring legal options in a couple of avenues. I will probably be deactivating this account for a variety of reasons soon. I always advocate

I've tried to stay fairly positive with recent messaging, but this is a direct attack that would cripple NOAA modeling capabilities and directly lead to more death and property loss if it is carried out. I definitely recommend calling your representatives ASAP to oppose this.

Financial planning is about more than spreadsheets, retirement projections, and optimal portfolios. At its core, it's about helping people find and fund a good life. And a "good life" means different things to each of us. So today, I resigned from PWL. Over the past 18

With hurricanes, the window of worry is usually longer than the window of concern. There is lots of chatter this week about Invest #97L, a tropical wave just emerging west of Africa that will travel across the Atlantic and likely develop into a hurricane according to most

Aug 16: Images from NOAA Aircraft Operations Center and the NOAA Satellites Ocean Winds team show an intense eyewall in Hurricane #Erin This photo shows the ocean surface calm in the eye and roaring in the eyewall. For the latest forecast visit hurricanes.gov

"Cuts through attrition", a.k.a. let boomers retire with a full pension, dump their work on younger employees without a pay raise, and don't hire any young people into the system, causing an eventual problem with a top-heavy workforce and a skills gap in about a decade.