There goes my no tor forecast for TTC

Typical progressive long range NAM bias and potential for sneaky warm layers aloft to linger around more than forecast (as they often do) certainly suggests later convective initiation (possibly near sunset?) over the Plains on Monday.

I also personally have not been a big fan…

Absolutely disgusting 🤮

Wedge in florida this morning! WOW!

The area in red actually had the best viewing conditions for the eclipse.

Bust

Happy gorl

#CatsOfTwitter

👀

Solid look for a generally active May from the C3S ensemble mean.

General troughiness hanging back over the SW US, w/ anomalous SW flow over the Plains.

🌪️ 🌪️

One hell of a rear inflow jet on this squall line over Louisiana. 100-105 mph 😬

#lawx

Fwiw, both of Paul Roundy’s Constructed Analogs are also hinting at a more active than usual South-Central Plains Dry line in early-mid May.

Interesting how both of these pick up on the persistent +IOD/active West IO convection (🔵 shading) too

atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/round……

I’ll very gladly take the extended GEFS, CFSv2, NMME, or Euro Seasonal for May.

Get the storms there first & we’ll figure out details later.

I’m ready to chase some wegdes. Is it May yet? 🌪️

Well, that was fun while it lasted.

What an incredible run by the Wolfpack! 🐺

Glad I didn’t go in person to watch this game (& saved myself $500+), we’ve played awful on offense tonight, except for DJ Horne.