financialization of reality is imminent I will be participating in the prediction market side event at Token2049 w/ vatic hosted by PredictionIndex.xyz lili.hl ✰ ツ rsvp here: predictionindex.xyz/predictify-eve…

we’ll be at TOKEN2049 w/ probability god PredictionIndex.xyz & lili.hl ✰ ツ discussing how prediction markets evolve into the financial layer of truth.

Sometimes you don’t need to know geopolitics — you just need the signal. The Spectator Index tweet dropped → Polymarket moved instantly. Vatic captures & maps these correlations in real time.

this is how you track whether “smokescreens” are narrative or catalyst.

1/14 here’s the mid-range (30–70¢) markets playbook a bunch of you asked me to explain further after yesterday's space. it's how I hunt for mispriced markets which can be translated into the search for markets where the price and the consensus hallucination have max distance 🧵

pretty obvious

🤝🤝

defier decided to wake up and drop some alpha bombs today

really good q blees what we do is aggregating information relevant to a market with the minimal latency possible and provide it to traders. Our goal is to give traders access to signals as soon as they are made public in order to increase their profitability

we’re excited to share that vatic has officially joined Polymarket Builders our mission is simple: → surface the right signal at the right time, so traders can act instantly → minimize the latency between public information and market action → long-term, unify the entire

been working behind the scenes w/ vatic for a while now. the team basically built a layer-2 on top of prediction markets tailored to my trading pattern and style, with the goal of making it fully automatable. as i’ve said before, signal is everything. It's the raw,

Why does the Russian violation of the Estonian airspace has no impact on the price action of the "Russia invading NATO" market? Have the market participants already priced the event? Or is it truly insignificant?

Prediction markets are exploding, and the ecosystem around it is wild. I spent weeks mapping the complete Polymarket ecosystem landscape - 116 projects across 14 categories. What did I miss? Drop your favorites below 👇

has the market bottomed?