Dr. Levi Cowan (@tropicaltidbits) 's Twitter Profile
Dr. Levi Cowan

@tropicaltidbits

Owner/developer of tropicaltidbits.com. PhD in meteorology from FSU. Opinions are mine alone.

Follow for expert, factual, no-hype hurricane analysis

ID: 344425346

linkhttps://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ calendar_today29-07-2011 01:42:18

11,11K Tweet

113,113K Followers

1,1K Following

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Ongoing network maintenance could lead to tropicaltidbits.com being temporarily inaccessible to some users over the next 24 hours, but hoping for limited downtime.

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I never publicly comment on political matters because they are usually irrelevant to my work of providing hurricane data and forecasts to people in my personal capacity. Today though, it is highly relevant, and as a member of the meteorological community, I am angry. Planned or

I never publicly comment on political matters because they are usually irrelevant to my work of providing hurricane data and forecasts to people in my personal capacity. Today though, it is highly relevant, and as a member of the meteorological community, I am angry.

Planned or
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Probationary employees across NOAA and the National Weather Service are being terminated today, including those in mission-essential roles. My own wife is among them, essential to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center's 24/7 critical mission of seismic monitoring and tsunami prediction to protect the

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Few are more deserving of support at this time than Andy Hazelton. He's a pure human being with a big heart and a huge impact on our field. For my TC nerds out there, he helped develop and test the US flagship hurricane model called HAFS.

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Never seen a TC model forecast hit this kind of MPI ceiling. Fascinating to ponder whether this ceiling is realistically represented by the model, or if some bias exists. In this case, we won't know the correct answer unless this particular TC actually makes a run at its MPI.

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Had a bit of a mishap overnight that brought tropicaltidbits.com down. It's back up now, but some data will take a couple hours to backfill. Sorry about that!

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I'm just going to point out that there is no quality scientific analysis being presented here. 1. Kantar is a market research company specializing in advertising, branding, and public opinion, without expertise in meteorological analysis or tropical cyclone datasets. 2. The

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The periodic downtime of tropicaltidbits.com this week has been due to a failing piece of hardware that I will be getting replaced ASAP. This will result in another chunk of downtime, hopefully during the night when traffic is low. I'll let you all know when that is

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Website is beginning to come back online. Some data may be old and take a couple hours to catch up. Thanks for bearing with me. Took several hours longer than I wanted due to a 6-hour delay by the hosting provider.

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At the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season, an MJO pulse of rising air and enhanced thunderstorm activity is often what brings the first window of potential for tropical storm formation. We have one in sight, currently over the Indian Ocean. This pulse will propagate

At the beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season, an MJO pulse of rising air and enhanced thunderstorm activity is often what brings the first window of potential for tropical storm formation. We have one in sight, currently over the Indian Ocean. This pulse will propagate
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There will be another period (~3 hours) of downtime for the website overnight tonight beginning around 3am EDT for hardware maintenance. If you wake up and it's still down, that will be why.

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The Eastern Pacific is getting going with their first Tropical Storm of the season, named #Alvin 🐿️ NHC Pacific predicts a track northward towards northern Mexico, but fortunately, Alvin will hit some cold water on its way there, likely causing it to mostly dissipate prior to

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The GFS model is predicting sudden hurricane development in the western Caribbean in 8-10 days. I'll take the under. As my long-time followers know, this model is infamous for over-amplifying tropical thunderstorm complexes. You can see the massive amount of 24-hour rainfall

The GFS model is predicting sudden hurricane development in the western Caribbean in 8-10 days.

I'll take the under. As my long-time followers know, this model is infamous for over-amplifying tropical thunderstorm complexes. You can see the massive amount of 24-hour rainfall
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The website had some downtime again this morning, an issue I thought had been fixed by previous hardware replacements last month. Unfortunately, it looks like more sleuthing is required. The site is back up for now - some data will take a while to backfill. I apologize for the