Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile
Trevor

@trevlarn

NWSL and the Washington Spirit

ID: 1311660589870133249

calendar_today01-10-2020 13:34:01

1,1K Tweet

141 Followers

495 Following

Washington Spirit (@washspirit) 's Twitter Profile Photo

✨ GIVEAWAY ALERT ✨ Retweet this for a chance to win this incredible winter fleece ❄️ Buy it: bit.ly/3SS4kU1 Rules: bit.ly/40P8zSk

✨ GIVEAWAY ALERT ✨

Retweet this for a chance to win this incredible winter fleece ❄️

Buy it: bit.ly/3SS4kU1
Rules: bit.ly/40P8zSk
Washington Spirit (@washspirit) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Repost this for a chance to win an 🖊️AUTOGRAPHED🖊️ Matchday Program from rookies Croix Bethune & Hal Hershfelt! A part of Spirit history 🫶 Rules: bit.ly/498I1hu

Repost this for a chance to win an 🖊️AUTOGRAPHED🖊️ Matchday Program from rookies Croix Bethune & Hal Hershfelt!

A part of Spirit history 🫶

Rules: bit.ly/498I1hu
Washington Spirit (@washspirit) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Repost for a chance to win this autographed Marvel Entertainment Super Hero™ Night Poster featuring your Spirits! Marvel Super Hero™ Night 🦸‍♀️ Friday, April 26th 7:30 PM ET Audi Field Rules: bit.ly/3Uh2c7y

Repost for a chance to win this autographed <a href="/Marvel/">Marvel Entertainment</a> Super Hero™ Night Poster featuring your Spirits! 

Marvel Super Hero™ Night 🦸‍♀️
Friday, April 26th
7:30 PM ET
Audi Field 

Rules: bit.ly/3Uh2c7y
Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

2014 Reign won the shield and were Championship runners up 2018 Courage won the double and were probably the best team in NWSL history Good company to be in :)

Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Tiki-taka?!? Korbin is not a technical player, her only strength is her physicality. She had the lowest pass percentage of all midfielders on Tuesday.

Expected Own Goals (@xowngoals) 's Twitter Profile Photo

One of our Patreon subscribers Trevor built this amazing #NWSL Elo projection model. xG is weighed more heavily than raw results in order to determine team strength. Then every remaining game of the season gets simulated in order to generate playoff odds. Super cool shit.

One of our Patreon subscribers <a href="/TrevLarn/">Trevor</a> built this amazing #NWSL Elo projection model. xG is weighed more heavily than raw results in order to determine team strength. Then every remaining game of the season gets simulated in order to generate playoff odds. Super cool shit.
Susan (@susanbordson) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Jennifer Schulze The New York Times Vice President JD Vance A constant through-line in NY Times coverage of VP Harris is to sow distrust in her judgment and decision-making. Sometimes explicitly, sometimes through nuanced jabs. But once radar is tuned for it, folks will note it's a theme. While NYT presents Trump as standard-bearer ⬇️

<a href="/NewsJennifer/">Jennifer Schulze</a> <a href="/nytimes/">The New York Times</a> <a href="/VP/">Vice President JD Vance</a> A constant through-line in NY Times coverage of VP Harris is to sow distrust in her judgment and decision-making.
Sometimes explicitly, sometimes through nuanced jabs.

But once radar is tuned for it, folks will note it's a theme.

While NYT presents Trump as standard-bearer
⬇️
Expected Own Goals (@xowngoals) 's Twitter Profile Photo

.Trevor has updated his #NWSL Elo projection model. Bay FC are sealing their playoff place. Chicago and Portland still control their fates even after the weekend's losses. Louisville don't get a result; that may be it for them. #BayFC | #WithTheStars | #BAONPDX | #RacingLou

.<a href="/TrevLarn/">Trevor</a> has updated his #NWSL Elo projection model. Bay FC are sealing their playoff place. Chicago and Portland still control their fates even after the weekend's losses. Louisville don't get a result; that may be it for them.

#BayFC | #WithTheStars | #BAONPDX | #RacingLou
Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Another interesting note - with a Chicago win @ Houston and a Louisville loss vs KC, the playoffs will be nearly locked up (Thorns, Bay, Chicago all > 90% chance of playoffs, Louisville down to 10%).

Expected Own Goals (@xowngoals) 's Twitter Profile Photo

We were curious how this year's playoff odds stacked up with two games to go compared to last year's at the same point in the season. Lo and behold, things were much much tighter with two games to go in 2023. (Thanks to Trevor for running the model!) #NWSL

We were curious how this year's playoff odds stacked up with two games to go compared to last year's at the same point in the season. Lo and behold, things were much much tighter with two games to go in 2023. (Thanks to <a href="/TrevLarn/">Trevor</a> for running the model!) 

#NWSL
Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My Elo model's #nwsl playoff odds going into the last weekend! #RacingLou still holds an outside shot at making the cut. Seeding between 2-4 could be important for the semifinals, and #ThatsTheSpirit hold a small advantage for the number two spot.

My Elo model's #nwsl playoff odds going into the last weekend! #RacingLou still holds an outside shot at making the cut. Seeding between 2-4 could be important for the semifinals, and #ThatsTheSpirit hold a small advantage for the number two spot.
Expected Own Goals (@xowngoals) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Playoff odds from Trevor Larner's Elo model! Even-steven for the championship between the top 4, while Bay FC have the best shot at a quarterfinal upset. (Thanks as always to Trevor for building this out!) #VamosPride | #ThatsTheSpirit | #GothamFC | #KCBABY | #BayFC | #NWSL

Playoff odds from Trevor Larner's Elo model! Even-steven for the championship between the top 4, while Bay FC have the best shot at a quarterfinal upset. 

(Thanks as always to <a href="/TrevLarn/">Trevor</a> for building this out!)

#VamosPride | #ThatsTheSpirit | #GothamFC | #KCBABY | #BayFC | #NWSL
Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My ELO model 2025 #nwsl predictions! The predictions are based off the end of season 2024 ratings, as well as utilizing DAVIES database to measure team change. Overall, the Spirit and the Current are the favorites for the Shield, and there are 7 teams hanging close to the line.

My ELO model 2025 #nwsl predictions! The predictions are based off the end of season 2024 ratings, as well as utilizing DAVIES database to measure team change. 

Overall, the Spirit and the Current are the favorites for the Shield, and there are 7 teams hanging close to the line.
Luis Moreno (@luismorenolg) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I’m embarrassed that a classless, spineless, phony individual who’s not capable of defending his wife and dad from Trump (and who also flees to Cancun during a winter mess in Texas) is my Senator.

Trevor (@trevlarn) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My #NWSL Elo-based rest of seasons predictions through Sunday's games. Spirit are into 2nd and Orlando down to 4th as they are stuck in a run of poor form. The table is close from 7th-11th, with all 5 teams with a legitimate shot at making the playoffs.

My #NWSL Elo-based rest of seasons predictions through Sunday's games. 

Spirit are into 2nd and Orlando down to 4th as they are stuck in a run of poor form. The table is close from 7th-11th, with all 5 teams with a legitimate shot at making the playoffs.