🗳️ Seat estimate for July 2025 (+/- vs GE2024): ➡️ REF – 357 (+352) 🔴 LAB – 92 (-319) 🟠 LD – 83 (+11) 🟡 SNP – 45 (+36) 🔵 CON – 28 (-93) 🟣 YRP – 15 (+10) Reform majority of 64 seats ➡️

Citing a nonexistent crime crisis, Trump plans to take over the Washington DC police and put troops in the streets of the nation's capital. Contrary to his claims, violent crime in DC is at a 30-year low. Katie Rogers Campbell Robertson Chris Cameron nytimes.com/live/2025/08/1…

"A nationally significant water shortfall is gripping England". You'd never believe water companies have had 35 years to plan for this but then again there's always been a plan, the one that was cheapest for WCs, drain ever river in the country dry, and now they're running out

If these were Israeli children, this one atrocity would lead every news bulletin, be splashed on every news front page. Western leaders would denounce the evil depravity of Hamas. But these are Palestinian kids, murdered by Israel. So nothing.

“If you want an advert for why private companies shouldn’t be involved in certain sectors, this is it.” Privateers have run Thames Water into the ground. This is delaying the inevitable. Relying on the same model to fix what they broke is madness.

The government's net approval rating has fallen to -55, Labour's lowest score to date Approve: 13% (= from 2-4 August) Disapprove: 68% (+1) Net: -55 (-1)

🧵 / The public's already negative view of Labour is getting worse still on key metrics monitored by our trackers 62% of Britons see the party as weak, up from 52% before the welfare rebellion in late June Weak: 62% (+10 from 7-9 June) Neither: 17% (-4) Strong: 9% (-5)

This week’s voting intention shows an 8-point lead for Reform while the Tories bump up after their low last week to tie with Labour ➡️ REF UK 30% (-1) 🌳 CON 22% (+4) 🌹 LAB 22% (nc) 🔶 LIB DEM 13% (-1) 🌍 GREEN 6% (-1) 🟡 SNP 2% (-1) N = 2,015 | Dates: 8 - 11/8 | Change w 3/8

First poll to have Labour below 20% since the General Election.

The Times today: "water privatisation has been the greatest failure of the wholesale sell-off of government utilities instituted by the Thatcher government." thetimes.com/comment/the-ti…

Love this. Protester arrested over ‘Plasticine Action’ T-shirt: ‘How ridiculous is this?’ #plasticineaction theguardian.com/world/2025/aug…

One of my favorite tariff charts Normally high prices are a sign of strong demand & induce manufacturing investment Tariffs instead give you higher prices & lower investment—the worst of both worlds—because they're a tax on capital goods & supply chains

Against some serious competition stamp duty is perhaps the worst & most damaging tax we have. Yet chancellors keep raising it. Including, unbelievably, Rachel Reeves last Autumn. It messes up the housing market & the labour market, and indeed people’s lives.

God cocaine is truly evil - The inexorable rise of Latin America’s drug cartels via Financial Times on.ft.com/4lyNfZU

Latest voting intention: Reform up at 9-point lead, Labour & Tories tied on 21 & 20. Meanwhile “Other” now at 5% ➡️ REF UK 30% (nc) 🌹 LAB 21% (-1) 🌳 CON 20% (-2) 🔶 LIB DEM 13% (nc) 🌍 GREEN 8% (+2) 🟡 SNP 3% (+1) ❓OTHER 5% (+1) N = 2,000 | Dates: 15 - 18/8 | Change w 11/8

The new left-wing party led by Jeremy Corbyn & Zarah Sultana could seriously shake up British politics. Our latest polling reveals: 🗳️1 in 5 (20%) Brits would consider voting for the new party - but the real story is the generational divide...

Reports suggest Labour may introduce capital gains tax on home sales in the Autumn Budget. It sounds like an easy revenue raiser - but the evidence shows it would slash transactions, gum up housing chains, and could even collect less tax overall. Thread:

BREAKING: * The number of people claiming asylum in the UK reached a record 111,084 during Keir Starmer's first year in office after a surge in small boat crossings * The figure was an increase of 14% on the same period in the year before * The number of people coming to the

Listen to John Bolton on Episode 4 of the Autocracy in America podcast: theatlantic.com/podcasts/archi…

The freezing of the main tax thresholds is significant, equivalent to over 5p on income tax. Disingenuous and deceitful, as well as regressive approach to taxation. Labour promised not to freeze allowances post 2028, will they keep their promise? on.ft.com/4lKG3Kx