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Quantus Insights

@quantusinsights

Election forecasting, political and economic analysis, and data-driven insights. Personal: @JasonCorley78 / quantus.substack.com

ID: 1447750180258918403

linkhttps://quantusinsights.org/ calendar_today12-10-2021 02:25:38

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@quantusinsights

a month ago

Quinnipiac: New Jersey Governor's race Oct. 2025 🟦 Sherrill 50% (+6) 🟥 Ciattarelli 44% Sept. 2025 🟦 Sherrill 49% (+8) 🟥 Ciattarelli 41% If Quinnipiac misses, they: ▫️Miss by 5 pts on average when wrong ▫️Leans D+5 in misses ▫️ Only ~40% of polls land within 3 pts of final