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PPUSA

@pollprojectusa

Nonpartisan data aggregator for US elections. Home of Polliticos. Pollster/news tips accepted via DM.

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calendar_today01-11-2020 06:31:50

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Current odds to win the rust belt per the NYT: WI: 🟥 Trump 70% MI: 🟥 Trump 67% PA: 🟥 Trump 67% MN: 🟦 Harris 65%

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Per the NYT Needle, Trump has an 89% chance to win. He’s projected over 300 electoral votes and above a 1% popular vote win.

Per the NYT Needle, Trump has an 89% chance to win. He’s projected over 300 electoral votes and above a 1% popular vote win.
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Not a lot of positives for Democrats tonight so far, but one small silver lining is they’re poised to make a few house gains in the House in New York, where they’re performing pretty well.

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One of the more under the radar races tonight is in NJ-09, where Nellie Pou (D) leads Billy Prempeh (R) by just 2% in an urban Newark-based House seat with 74% in.

One of the more under the radar races tonight is in NJ-09, where Nellie Pou (D) leads Billy Prempeh (R) by just 2% in an urban Newark-based House seat with 74% in.
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Looking back at our final map, it appears the Governor and House will be very close, if not exact. But Trump and Senate Rs will most likely outperform expectations. Very pleased with how this turned out, given the uncertainty.

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The state of play for the presidency. Pennsylvania is now also >95% for Trump as of now. The Senate may be a bigger nightmare for Democrats at the moment; they’re currently down in MT, WI, MI, and PA. NV is also a nail-biter.

The state of play for the presidency. Pennsylvania is now also >95% for Trump as of now.

The Senate may be a bigger nightmare for Democrats at the moment; they’re currently down in MT, WI, MI, and PA. NV is also a nail-biter.
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Major Call: Fox News has called Pennsylvania for Trump. Donald Trump will be the 47th president of the United States. 🟥 GOP Flip

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2024 Senate Update: AP has called WI for Baldwin (D). Slotkin (D) likely to win MI. McCormick (R) ahead in PA and likely to flip the seat. Now it appears that Sam Brown (R) may have a chance at flipping NV’s seat. PA and NV would be 54 seats for the GOP, with AZ still counting.

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2024 Senate Update: DDHQ has called MI for Slotkin (D) and NV for Rosen (D). Two senate seats are uncalled. McCormick (R) leads in PA, Gallego (D) leads in AZ. Current senate count is 52R-46D.

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Senate Update: DDHQ has called Ruben Gallego (D) the winner of #AZSen. This is the last remaining race, and locks in the Senate at 53-47 GOP.