Latest w Sam Seitz on whether madman behavior yields bargaining leverage. He discusses problems of signaling, credibility, reassurance & explores examples from Khrushchev to Nixon to Gaddafi & Trump's approach to NK, Iran, trade policy & more! Listen! cato.org/multimedia/pow…

On an all NEW Power Problems with John Glaser: MIT SSP's Sam Seitz discusses “madman behavior” in international politics and its effectiveness at gaining leverage in international confrontations. He explains why problems of signaling, credibility, and reassurance tend to make

Israel's influence over Washington is unparalleled. It bends US Middle East policy in directions advantageous for itself and stifles debate through intimidation. The special relationship is arguably the greatest liability we shoulder abroad. Left & Right, we demand change.

Periodic reminder that the warmongers are either totally disingenuous or remarkably dim.

For the record, this is the US intel community assessment as of March 2025. (p. 26 dni.gov/files/ODNI/doc…)

Let me again recommend the most recent Power Problems episode with Sam Seitz on how "madman tactics" like this don't work: cato.org/multimedia/pow…

On an all NEW episode of Power Problems with John Glaser: Defense Priorities' Rose Kelanic discusses the Israel-Iran war, America's involvement in the conflict, the potential risks of escalation, and more: cato.org/multimedia/pow…

DNI repeatedly politicizes intelligence on behalf of POTUS, including in this very tweet in which she condemns as “propaganda” intel leaks that made an elective, unconstitutional military action seem ineffective. She condemns “propaganda media” literally as she delivers it.

Latest w Nick Anderson & Daryl Press on the balance of power on the Korean Peninsula, the potential consequences of an outbreak of war, escalation risks, diplomatic postures towards NK, and the implications for the US-SK military alliance. cato.org/multimedia/pow…

It was an honor to be on the Power Problems podcast discussing new research (with Daryl Press) on North Korea's artillery and the U.S.-ROK alliance

Latest w Emma Ashford on her forthcoming book on grand strategy, how to embrace multipolarity, spheres of influence, why alliances shouldn't be sacred, economic statecraft, bureaucratic inertia, the problem of temptation, & more. Listen! cato.org/multimedia/pow…