🔲 #IlliberalWave 🌊 No.11 Not all illiberalisms are the same, argues @JasperKauth. Anti-democratic, disruptive #illiberalism and anti-liberal, ideological illiberalism may act simultaneously, but analysing them individually helps identify what drives them bit.ly/3IzhNaz

I'll be at #ALACIP today presenting a product of my MA thesis: "Autocratization in the 21st century: Assessing regime breakdown through democratization theories". If you have some spare time at 10:45 (Chile Standard Time), your participation and comments are more than welcome.

Fresh take on #Brazil #elections: "Warming back up to Democracy? Democratic Thermostatics & Brazil's 2022 Presidential Election" by Ryan E Carlin Laura Chelidonopoulos Gabe.z.Miller📉Thx @taylorlatam for posting it Center for Latin American & Latino Studies blog👉 brazilresearchinitiative.org/warming-back-u… subscribe pollitik.substack.com/p/warming-back…

Under what conditions might mass democratic preferences shape election outcomes? In this insightful post, Ryan E Carlin, Laura Chelidonopoulos, and Miller argue that the election must pit a pro-democratic candidate against an anti-democratic candidates (+) wp.me/paDY6A-rf

#OpenAccess from our new issue - What You See and What You Get: Direct and Indirect Political Dividends of Public Policies - cup.org/49b0ivU - @nataliasbueno, Cesar Zucco (FGV) & Felipe Aurelio Nunes

We promised the European Research Council (ERC) to save democracy. How? Civic education! Showing simple 3-min videos on social media, promoting the virtues of democracy, has substantial effects across 33 different countries. More details here: osf.io/ue6qj 1/

First year, part II

*extreme political methodologist voice* the princess is “missing”? have you tried multiple imputation?

🚨New working paper: Here we experimentally demonstrate across 33 countries that civic education can mitigate the negative effects of partisan polarization by increasing the likelihood of voting for non-partisan, pro-democratic candidates. 1/ osf.io/preprints/osf/…

What's the current status of causal inference in political science? Since the advent of the credibility revolution social scientists pay more attention to establishing cause-and-effect relationships. But how has poli sci responded to the new methods and trends? (1/n)

Great work! Suggestions: (1) natural experiments are rarely experiments; (2) FEs are often used to adjust for unobservables, instead of SOO; same with event studies (ES); (3) ES-FE-DID are closely related.

Difference-in-Differences Meets Synthetic Control: Doubly Robust Identification and Estimation. arxiv.org/abs/2503.11375

Difference-in-Differences Designs: A Practitioner's Guide. arxiv.org/abs/2503.13323