Nice analysis Yoonyoung Cho and Pollitik!

The final Predictator of the semester is out! H/t to Muadth Smith Hilal Sert Sheridan Cupid & Dee🌿 on this strong finish 💪📈📉

Join our team LAPOP Lab!!

Reposting w/o external links - please help out Pollitik by liking and sharing 🙏💪

Proud to see this come together! Is it a crazy prediction? Time will tell. Model was trained on pres elections in Latin America (h/t to Greg Love Executive Approval Project.

Congrats to Luiz Romero Moura, Eddie, Amari, Matarr & Alexandra Pollitik for a fine analysis & bold prediction!

#Milei has trained the eyes of the world squarely on #Argentina 🇦🇷. H/t to Yoonyoung Cho & JKM for their 💪 work on this. 📈📉
*🙏please like & r/t to support Pollitik!

Fueled by our Executive Approval Database 😉

Very excited about Pollitik’s new Fundamentals Forecaster! Models only use data 6 from the elections, btw, so roughly the 200-day cutoff Erikson & Christopher Wlezien use. We have some tricks to avoid small-n/d.o.f./over-fitting, as well. 🤓

No olvidar que si se asocian a WAPOR Latinoamérica uno de los grandes beneficios es un descuento del 30% en los cursos de esta escuela de verano!.
👇👇👇
wapor.org/membership/

Loved presenting to the great folks at LSU’s Political Science Dept and, ofc, Mike the Tiger 🐅😜. Thanks to ⁦Pearce Edwards⁩, ⁦Thiago Moreira⁩, ⁦Yann Kerevel⁩, ⁦Anna Gunderson⁩, Joe Clare, Robbie Hogan & Andrés Vázquez for the invitation & kind hospitality!

This is an important next step for RLOP. Please keep sending us your work, and thanks to all our reviewers!

Muy facil inscribirse! ✅Y despues, te manda una invitacion calendaria 📅 😉

Les recomiendo esta nota de Camila Osorio para EL PAÍS América sobre las actitudes de la/os colombiana/os hacia los acuerdos de paz y la JEP, con datos de 2023 del #BarómetroAméricas de LAPOP Lab.

Ciencia Política y Estudios Globales Uniandes Facultad de Ciencias Sociales Uniandes Miguel García S.

elpais.com/america-colomb…

Surveys vs. LLMs... Great job Shakira, Patrick & Haley of Pollitik 💪📈📉

Interesting work here Pollitik! Again, AI is not quite right when it comes to ranking leaders by popularity. For Mexico AI performed better than for Japan but worse for the UK.

Had fun playing with scholargoggler.com today. If it's not on this graphic, I know nothing about it 😁

Congrats to the authors! We need more forecasting research!!

***NUEVO ARTICULO*** 👀📖👇
'Can Latin American Voters see the Future? Citizen Forecasting in Argentina' por Brian Thompson-Collart Brian Thompson, Yannick Dufresne & Evelyne Brie 🇦🇷📈📊📉 👇👇revistas.usal.es/cuatro/index.p…

Production from Pollitik is cranking up. Fascinating to watch how #Noboa plays the difficult hand he's been dealt.

Lots we still don't know about executive approval in authoritarian contexts, but we can keep asking good questions!