For those putting up wild model runs from the #tropics, remember that any wave coming off of Africa is likely at least 10 days from reaching the CONUS. That is a LOT of time for things to change dramatically. We have no skill in forecasting that far out. #hurricane

My new business cards came in today. New look as well as a QR code link to sign up for WeatherCall, LLC. I’ll be distributing them as time moves along.

Impressive 12-hour rainfall totals across Milwaukee, WI after repeated rounds of heavy rain! Several stations recorded enough to qualify as a 1-in-1000-year event, Just a 0.1% chance of happening in any given year. #WIwx

It's MUCH too soon to speculate where #97L will ultimately end up. Models over 10 days out are not very reliable. It is a good time to remember to have your hurricane plan ready no matter where you live. After all, the peak of hurricane season is on our doorstep. #tropics

With schools starting, I wish I could do more to help the #Teachersof𝕏 and #ClearTheList - I know a lot of kids also need their help. If I had more money, I would help out...there's a lot that is needed right now.

At this point, we shouldn't worry too much about the eventual track of #97L since there's a lot that can happen. There's no reason to post single model runs and using them as a likely scenario. It's like throwing a dart blindfold from 15 feet away and hoping to land a triple-20.

This is important. Even though #Erin has just cleared Cape Verde (where several people have lost their lives), there has been a lot of talk about US threats. We have a LONG way to go. But remember, the peak of #hurricane season is near - so prepare for any storm that comes.

The rain has arrived in Starkville. It’s coming down quite hard. #MSwx

Sometimes, the most frustrating thing is finding data that is not available online. Had to send a RFI to get data for a report I am writing.

The most recent aircraft data from #Erin suggests it may be continuing to strengthen. 92 kt winds at flight level support about 83 kt at the surface. The surface wind/wave sensor (SFMR) has had accuracy issues lately. We'll see what the NHC says in the next half hour.

#Erin is now a category 2 hurricane with 100 mph winds. Significant additional intensification is likely this weekend, probably at least to category 4 intensity either late tomorrow or on Sunday as it tracks north of the Greater Antilles. Category 5 cannot be ruled out either.

#Erin is intensifying very rapidly. The pressure is down to 971 mb (after wind adjustment), which is a drop of 8 mb in about 2 1/2 hours. At this rate, it should be a major hurricane within a few hours. The winds haven't responded yet, but may soon.

Incredible to see how much #Erin has intensified in just the last 12 hours. We should be very fortunate it didn’t happen near land.

Now a Category 5. #Erin has undergone absolutely remarkable intensification this morning. How much stronger can it get?

CATASTROPHIC ERIN - Erin has rapidly intensified into a Cat 5 with winds of 160 MPH, pressure down to 917 MB.

I've been watching the stories and recollections of Katrina. In the days before social media. I remember those days watching the coverage and I was feeling so sick afterward and helpless even from thousands of miles away. I'll never get over the images.

It's really annoying when the Hurricane Hunters aircraft has to turn around and return to base (due to technical or safety issues), but necessary for their sake. They can't afford to risk anything when flying through a hurricane. #Erin

Having to remember old math formulas, and even look at calculus rules, for a poster I am presenting basically takes me back to school. That's why any meteorologist you see on air or at a desk is also a scientist.

Sunset in Starkville. It’s a beauty tonight. #MSwx