BREAKING: Official US CPI comes at 2.4% Y/Y Truflation correctly predicted the numbers would come in cooler than the market consensus of 2.5%, between 2.2% and 2.4%, when we extrapolate our rapidly cooling numbers to the BLS CPI.

Credit where it is due.

If you missed it, here is today's discussion on the latest CPI inflation numbers (at 2.4% for January) with E.J. Antoni, Ph.D., Jim Bianco, Michael Green, and Ivan Jelic from Truflation's data team. We shared our BLS CPI forecasts, discussed cooling trends in Truflation versus

And once again, the truflation prediction shines I’m performing everybody else in predicting the. The Bureau of lagging statistic numbers. This is why you need to subscribe to Truflation take advantage of our 45 day lead time. And if that isn’t enough you can track the lagging

US inflation today, based on millions of real price data: US CPI: 0.94% US core CPI (excl food and energy): 1.51% Our headline inflation index has remained below the Fed's 2% target and below 1% since February. The latest upward trend, from 0.74%, was driven by price increases

USDA data show the price of eggs easing to $0.92 per dozen, a >80% drop from the 2025 peak and back to pre-bird flu levels. It's in line with the cooling food inflation we have seen in our data. That said, we also track an egg index that uses multiple price providers to

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Today's US headline inflation, based on real price data: US CPI: 0.87% Y/Y US Goods Inflation: 0.72% US Services Inflation: 0.94% US Core Inflation (excl food and energy): 1.46% We aggregate millions of prices with multiple data sources to obtain the most current and objective

Major upgrade to one of our flagship indexes: Truflation Electric Vehicle Index, which tracks EV battery commodities, providing crucial insights into the renewable energy markets. The upgraded EV Index methodology differentiates battery costs by vehicle type (BEVs, PHEVs, HEVs,

Randy Woodward Truflation According to Bloomberg's new AI bot, there is a 97% correlation between Truflation and CPI with a 1mo lag, suggesting CPI will decline sharply in the next few months.

Mark Hackett Truflation

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Truflation is getting wider recognition among economists and financial professionals.

The Kobeissi Letter Official PCE just printed hotter: 2.9% headline, 3.0% core, highest since late 2023. But that's data from months ago. Our real-time Truflation PCE? 1.53%. Core? ~1.94% . The gap between lagging stats and reality keeps widening. The Fed is looking in the rearview while

The Supreme Court ruled today that the US tariffs were illegal. This means a lengthy process of reimbursing >$150 billion and a larger budget deficit. In our independent price data, tariffs had a temporary effect on US inflation, increasing our CPI index by ~0.8% in 2025 before

Truflation was on Forbes forbes.com/sites/garthfri…

Thanks Garth Friesen for explaining Truflation to Forbes readers 🙏

According to our price data, the US CPI is now 1.07%, below the Fed's 2% target. The rapid inflation-cooling trend we saw between December and February decelerated somewhat, but a few product and service categories remain in deflation, namely food, communications, and housing.

Thanks SolanaFloor for having us! Not everyone knows that our economic data and custom indexes run on a sophisticated blockchain-SQL infrastructure that is also MCP-friendly and can be plugged into most major AI agents.

Federal Reserve's Waller and Goolsbee want more evidence that inflation is heading towards the 2% target before they continue cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, inflation according to real price data is already below 1%.