Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile
Adam Turnquist, CMT

@adam_turnquist

Chief Technical Strategist, LPL Financial, Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member SIPC sipc.org

ID: 1622816760587071489

linkhttp://lpl.com calendar_today07-02-2023 04:37:29

387 Tweet

664 Followers

436 Following

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Chinese equity markets have reflected a lot more optimism for an economic recovery than sovereign rates. However, the message from China's bond market appears to be changing as 10Y yields just reversed a downtrend and recaptured the 200-dma for the first time since April '23.

Chinese equity markets have reflected a lot more optimism for an economic recovery than sovereign rates. However, the message from China's bond market appears to be changing as 10Y yields just reversed a downtrend and recaptured the 200-dma for the first time since April '23.
Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I had the pleasure of joining BNN Bloomberg to break down the technical setup behind the record-high rally and share why small caps may have a short-term window for outperformance. Appreciate the opportunity to be on! bnnbloomberg.ca/video/shows/th…

Jeff Buchbinder,CFA (@jbuchbinder_lpl) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The last #LPLMarketSignals of summer '25 is here! Adam Turnquist, CMT and I recap last week's market performance (the #Fed saved the day), illustrate a broadening market rally boosting small caps, share takeaways from Jackson Hole, and preview the week ahead. Thanks for tuning in!

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

For some great insights into how tariff revenue might influence the Treasury market and budget deficit, check out this excellent note from LPL’s Chief Fixed Income Strategist Lawrence Gillum, CFA. ⬇️ lpl.com/research/blog/…

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Will the low-volatility record-high rally continue, or will August mark the calm before the storm? Check out today's blog for five key takeaways on September seasonality, including how trend direction into the month impacts returns. ⬇️ lpl.com/research/blog/…

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Calm before the storm? Implied volatility across the SPX is historically low...especially ahead of key inflation data and the FOMC meeting. Speculator short positions in the VIX also reached the 99th percentile last week. Not a bold call to expect some mean reversion from here.

Calm before the storm? Implied volatility across the SPX is historically low...especially ahead of key inflation data and the FOMC meeting. Speculator short positions in the VIX also reached the 99th percentile last week. Not a bold call to expect some mean reversion from here.
Summit Consultants (@sciadvisors) 's Twitter Profile Photo

.LPL Financial Research strategists Jeff Buchbinder,CFA & Adam Turnquist, CMT recap Fed-fueled gains in stocks last week, assess the market’s technical setup, and preview the week ahead in the latest edition of the Market Signals podcast: bit.ly/48B48jM.

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Rate cuts at record highs have been a constructive sign for stocks. However, it’s important to consider the underlying economic conditions that prompted the Fed to ease policy last week — a weakening labor market. We take a balanced approach and explore how stocks have performed

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

We explore what a government shutdown has historically meant for stocks, why the bull market could be due for a breather, what happens to stocks after payrolls turn negative, and the seasonal setup for Q4 in this week's weekly market commentary. ⬇️ lpl.com/research/weekl…

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Covered a lot of ground on BNN Bloomberg TV today. We discussed the health of the bull market, signs of fatigue within our trend model, earnings, government shutdowns, rates, and even a few sector ideas for Q4. Thanks for having me on! youtube.com/watch?v=C_B58o…

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The MOVE Index — think of the VIX for Treasuries — has dropped to a 4-year low, representing a -1.8 standard dev. move and a 27% discount to the 200-dma. Add in the messy macro backdrop and rising expectations for rate cuts, and mean-reversion risk from here is likely building.

The MOVE Index — think of the VIX for Treasuries — has dropped to a 4-year low, representing a -1.8 standard dev. move and a 27% discount to the 200-dma. Add in the messy macro backdrop and rising expectations for rate cuts, and mean-reversion risk from here is likely building.
Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

While the Fed met expectations on rate cuts and ending QT yesterday, Powell surprised markets by downplaying the likelihood of a December cut. Here are several other key takeaways from yesterday's FOMC and what they could mean for markets. ⬇️ lpl.com/research/blog/…

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Collectively, the 4 big hyperscalers (AMZN, GOOG/L, META, and MSFT) are spending nearly a 1/4 of sales on capex. What also stands out is how much debt has become part of the spending story — capex is outpacing free cash flows, and net debt among these names is now positive.

Collectively, the 4 big hyperscalers (AMZN, GOOG/L, META, and MSFT) are spending nearly a 1/4 of sales on capex. What also stands out is how much debt has become part of the spending story — capex is outpacing free cash flows, and net debt among these names is now positive.
Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

In our latest Weekly Market Commentary, we examine the latest capex data, recap key Fed meeting takeaways, explain how the U.S.-China trade truce is helping ease inflation pressures, and unpack the recent K-shaped rally in stocks.⬇️ lpl.com/research/weekl…

Summit Consultants (@sciadvisors) 's Twitter Profile Photo

.LPL Financial Research strategists Jeff Buchbinder,CFA & Adam Turnquist, CMT recap last week’s tech-led gains for the stock market, cover major market-moving events, and preview the week ahead in the latest edition of the Market Signals podcast: bit.ly/43brKIs.

Adam Turnquist, CMT (@adam_turnquist) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A quick heads up... I’ll be live on The Morning Show on @stockmkttv with J.C. Parets and Steven Strazza TODAY at 9:00 am ET. Watch it here: youtube.com/watch?v=6wBS6d…