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Are there any actual comparable cases as reference?

“Equally important was the manual’s contention that the most effective form of military deception was the exploitation of the enemy’s preconceptions…commanders should try to “convince an opponent to believe what he wants to believe anyway”…known as Magruder’s Principle”

Holy mother of sunk costs

"If Russia ends up winning this war or even if the war settles into a brutal stalemate, Beijing may conclude that nuclear coercion is effective...[spelling] the beginning of the end of the long-held and more or less restrained Chinese approach to nuclear weapons"

There are good points on both sides of the cluster munitions debate but the part I don't understand is why this is a question for the US. Ukraine bears both the moral and the practical responsibility.

To my Taiwan people: we are starting a pro-nuclear NGO! Who wants to join? Taiwanese citizens or foreign national residents OK! We want to educate, advocate and craft policy to build nuclear power plants.

Happy 1 year anniversary to the 100% chance of recession forecast that never happened

Bayesian statistics is also simple enough for a child: an event that actually happened has four possible causes. It's simply reversing the logical sequence from cause ➡️ event to event ➡️ cause.

Taiwan's got a small problem.

"Congratulations on the license to literally print money. One more thing: you're now responsible for residential real estate closings and have strict liability if the money goes missing. We don't care how you do it. Toodles. -- competent government officials"

If housing is keeping the Fed from raising interest rates due housing supply, that's a bottleneck for the whole economy and could result in a financial crisis.

The problem isn't just the policy itself, it's that it's so self-evidently stupid that telling him about the results becomes an issue of loyalty. Remember how the Great Leap Forward was followed by the Cultural Revolution.

Hyperinflation doesn't come from rational monetary policy. Nazis sabotaged their economy in an act of narcissistic revanchism, and then claimed victimhood from the hardship. Wine moms remain undefeated.

The deranged plan to refinance the debt by crashing the economy fails at liftoff