Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast from Colorado State University calls for above-average season: 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes. Reasons for above-average forecast include predicted lack of #ElNino and warmer than normal subtropical Atlantic tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2021-…

Much of eastern subtropical Atlantic is currently in moderate/strong marine heatwave. Warmer than normal April subtropical Atlantic typically correlates w/ more active Atlantic #hurricane season. Warmer subtropics->weaker subtropical high->weaker trades->warmer tropical Atlantic

Thank you Adam Eckstein. EarlyAlert appreciates you organizing and we hope everyone who attended found much value and are more prepared for the upcoming Hurricane Season #Hurricane

19 hurricanes and 1 major #hurricane (Category 3 Audrey in 1957) have made landfall in the continental US in June on record (since 1851).

The subtropical Atlantic is much warmer than normal and tropical Atlantic is near average. The region with above-normal SSTs in Atlantic correlates fairly well with typical June SST pattern associated with above-normal #hurricane seasons.

Latest probabilistic ENSO forecast from NOAA continues to call for a very low chance of #ElNino (just 7%) for the peak of the Atlantic #hurricane season (August-October). El Nino typically reduces Atlantic hurricane activity via increases in vertical wind shear.

This morning's Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook looks more like one I would expect to see in September than in June! National #Hurricane Center is currently monitoring 3 areas with a 70%, 60% and 20% chance of development in next 5 days.

Starting July 28, Severe Thunderstorms deemed “destructive” will activate a Wireless Emergency Alert (WEA) on smartphones. Criteria for a destructive threat is at least 2.75 inch diameter hail and/or 80 mph thunderstorm winds. Read more: weather.gov/news/072221-sv…

Join me at RLPSA 2022 Annual Conference! Find out more at rlpsa.swoogo.com/RLPSA2022

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Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast from Colorado State University calls for above-average season: 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes. Reasons for above-average forecast include predicted lack of #ElNino and warmer than normal subtropical Atlantic tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2022-…

Average August-October sea surface temperature anomalies in CSU's six analog years for 2022 Atlantic hurricane season: 1996, 2000, 2001, 2008, 2012 and 2021. Analogs selected based on cool neutral ENSO/weak La Nina and near average to warm tropical Atlantic for August-October.

No models in the latest ENSO prediction plume call for #ElNino conditions for the peak of the Atlantic #hurricane season (August-October). El Nino typically reduces Atlantic hurricane activity via increases in vertical wind shear.

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The UK Met Office has issued its seasonal Atlantic #hurricane forecast and calls for an above-normal season. Most likely numbers are: 18 named storms 9 hurricanes 4 major (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes 176 Accumulated Cyclone Energy

Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast update from Colorado State University calls for very active season: 20 named storms, 10 hurricanes & 5 major hurricanes. Forecast increased from April due to low chance of #ElNino & warmer than normal tropical Atlantic: tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2022-…

On August 20 every year, Dr. Bill Gray would ring a bell denoting the start of the climatologically most active portion of the Atlantic #hurricane season. Historically, ~90% of Atlantic major (Category 3-4-5) hurricanes form after August 20th.