Samantha LaDuc recommendations for safety… $XLU $XLP $XLV have been doing well since she made that call in Spring of this year

Another reason why I have rec'd bonds to clients since April. $TLT They love productivity > wages. Goolsbee said, "nothing is more important than the productivity growth rate." Why? If productivity growth offsets wage growth, then the Fed has less fear higher wages can stoke

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So here is how it works: The overall system forces you to take risk by investing in order to keep up with the relentless inflation that is caused by the system. If you are fortunate enough to succeed in your investments, the 'Harris System' will then take 1/3 of that success

Recession Risk Is Pulled Forward - Thinking out loud with my Next Year Prediction CLUB/EDGE client post Wednesday, August 21, 2024. Focus on "statistically significant" BLS, growth fears transitioning to recession fears, and STAGFLATIONARY RECESSION. samanthaladuc.com/p/recession-ri…

A September To Remember? with Craig Shapiro Macro-To-Micro Power Hour youtu.be/ZxgZPthWh3Y?si…

The more of this I read, the more I know we are close to the end game. In 2023, OPEC was fighting the fed, now it’s fighting the global eco slowdown. Those are silly battles to pick. Choose your fighter carefully. #OPEC

How to think about risk with Howard Marks Oaktree 🎩👍

Solid read on state of labor market. Just in time for NFP. And FOMC. "Regardless of the reason for a rising unemployment rate, the Fed would have support to cut. That said, a rising unemployment rate without increased participation or some other special factor would be cooling

Not a surprise. Any of it. NFP 4.2% FOMC expectations 📈50bp cut. 10Y yield back to my 3.678% QTRLY support level last tagged Aug 5th. ✅ $TLT tags $101.57 PT. ✅ Yen rallies. $USDJPY tags 142 PT. ✅ $SPY 545 + $QQQ 455 held. Must hold.

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Cough 50bp Cough #FOMC

I am not a 0DTE chaser, but man how I love Lotto Fridays. So after my big picture pre-market rant to clients to be CAREFUL (with details in my market thoughts post), I gave several short price targets for indices + stocks. Ex: $QQQ opened at 460 + I gave 450P with these exact

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Meaning unscheduled meeting in October? 🤔🎯 H/t David Levenson #FOMC

#HFL crowd sees RESURGENT INFLATION. I see the exact opposite now as EVERYTHING changed (for me) in March, confirmed in April, and I doubled down in May. I am Uber-bearish oil & yields & equities big picture. I am Uber-bullish bonds & defensive stocks & cash. I call it:

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Does afterhours count? Measured move I gave clients this morning for $QQQ to tag TODAY from $460 short: $447.30 just hit. 🤷‍♀️🔥🤣 HAGW all. Consider joining us in my live trading room & working with my wonderful bench of traders & clients. #MacroToMicro