First DP this week: Replication of Bokobza et al. (2022) "The Morning After: Cabinet Instability and the Purging of Ministers after Failed Coup Attempts in Autocracies", by Christian Oswald, JulianWalterskirchen, Sonja Häffner, Marco Binetti and Christoph Dworschak. econpapers.repec.org/paper/zbwi4rdp…

🔍 Seeking Experts on African Rebel Groups! 🌍 Diving deep into "Socialisation & Political Education in Rebel Groups" for my thesis project. 🎓 Conducting expert surveys to uncover invaluable insights. 👥 Are you an expert or know someone researched rebel groups? Let me know!

Had a blast presenting joint work on using Temporal Fusion Transformers at the Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) conflict prediction challenge. Really great presentations and great discussions overall!

The Call for Papers for the 6th Annual COMPTEXT Conference is officially out! More info: comptextconference.org

Hello Germany we have a problem! "76% of the people of African descent said they had felt discriminated against in the last five years, up from 52% when the same question was asked in 2016" theguardian.com/world/2023/oct…

Just in time for the darker winter months and thanks to a generous invite code donation from Christian Oswald I have now also made it to the other, bluer, skyier side! You can find me there [at]jwalterskirchen.

Happy to share a new working paper together with Carl Henrik Knutsen and Jonas Bergan Draege titled "The Diverse Effects of Hard Propaganda in Competitive Authoritarian Regimes": osf.io/n4g6k/ -- What is it about? (1/7) polsky dictatorsky menasky (migrate now)

Conflict scholars! Over the last 4 years, 22 coders have spent over 150 coder-months to gather information for the UCDP Conflict Issues Dataset. Please give them a tribute by using the data that we (Raffe Sundberg Johan Brosché) present in this article. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00…

Check it out! Our data on rivalries - denouncements, threats, and violence - among armed groups (terrorists, rebels, militias).

Do you use conflict event data in your research as a scholar; in forecasting as a government analyst? I am delighted to share a new paper (w/ Princeton School of Public & International Affairs PhD student Hannah Kazis-Taylor, UC Merced postgraduate Claudia Loomis, and an outstanding team of Political Violence Lab co-authors). 1/9

Can machine learning predict chaos? My new paper performs a large-scale comparison of modern forecasting methods on a giant dataset of 135 chaotic systems. (1/N) journals.aps.org/prresearch/abs… NaturalSciences @ UT Oden Institute UT Physics

Our first meta paper is out!! This paper combines our first 110 completed reproductions/replications. This is joint work with 350+ amazing coauthors. We summarize our findings below. econpapers.repec.org/paper/zbwi4rdp…

📢 Call for Papers | CCEW Symposium 2024📢 Join us on September 19-20, 2024, for the 4th annual event organized by the Center for Crisis Early Warning. Carlo "Realism, Gedankenfetzen and Rants" Masala UniBw M Center for Intelligence and Security Studies 🚨New Deadline: 30.06.2024 📋Submission via conftool.org/ccewsymposium2…

Are you an International Relations scholar? Have you used EuGene or NewGene to create datasets? Guess what? A new version of the platform -- one FULLY web-based -- will be launched soon in partnership w/ correlatesofwar. Be on the lookout for COWPlus Online in mid-August!

The profile photos are in, my name is on an office door, guess it's happening: I have started my PhD at the Department of Political Science Göteborgs universitet / University of Gothenburg Wish me luck! gu.se/en/about/find-…

🚨🚨🚨 Very happy to share that my paper w/ Daniel Finke on states' rhetorical positions in the UNGA First Committee is out PSRM Journal. We analyze speeches by combining 3 automated text-analytic methods in a novel way. See 🧵 and abstract below, or here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2…

+++ "We are surrounded by NATO": Switzerland invades Vorarlberg

Happy Day! More excited than I expected about reaching 100 citations in Google Scholar! Immensely grateful to my amazing co-authors who made it possible to reach this (mini) milestone!