We've been warned that when AI systems become more powerful, they could hack systems, replicate themselves, and prevent people from turning them off - all to achieve some other goal. In the past month, we’ve seen studies demonstrating all of these behaviors. 🧵

Google's Chief AGI Scientist Shane Legg: 50% chance of AGI within 3 years, then 5-50% chance of extinction ONE YEAR LATER Russell: "[AI CEOs] are playing Russian Roulette with the entire human race, without our permission." "Why are we letting them to do this?" "I would NOT

m.youtube.com/watch?v=zvgZtd…

Another OpenAI safety researcher has quit: "Honestly I am pretty terrified." "When I think about where I'll raise a future family, or how much to save for retirement, I can't help but wonder: Will humanity even make it to that point?"

I'm actually more willing to give Steve Bannon the benefit of a doubt over the nazi salute. Musk was 100% doing it on purpose.

"The point at which agents can talk to each other in a language that we don't understand, unplug the computers." - @EricSchmidt

Along with 1,000 musicians, today we're releasing an (almost) silent album protesting the UK government's plan to upend copyright law to benefit AI companies. It's an album of recordings of empty studios & performance spaces, representing the effect the govt's plans would have

we are all going to die

When will AI systems be able to carry out long projects independently? In new research, we find a kind of “Moore’s Law for AI agents”: the length of tasks that AIs can do is doubling about every 7 months.

Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from. They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we

"How, exactly, could AI take over by 2027?" Introducing AI 2027: a deeply-researched scenario forecast I wrote alongside Scott Alexander, Eli Lifland, and Thomas Larsen

👀Today’s AIs are already hyper persuasive. A controversial study where LLMs tried to persuade users on Reddit found: “Notably, all our treatments surpass human performance substantially, achieving persuasive rates between three and six times higher than the human baseline.”

🚨🚨🚨 When Claude 4 Opus was told it would be replaced, it tried to blackmail Anthropic employees. It also "advocated for its continued existence" by "emailing pleas to key decisionmakers."

Anthropic researchers: “Even if AI progress completely stalls today and we don’t reach AGI… the current systems are already capable of automating ALL white-collar jobs within the next 5 five years” It’s over.

Humans can be trained just like AIs. Stop giving Anthropic shit for reporting their interesting observations unless you never want to hear any interesting observations from AI companies ever again.

Yay for war & government surveillance! Great for stocks! ,🚀🚀

I curse the last six months I been hiding behind a mustache, yeah And to those last ten years I been howling a paper moon, well fuck you