Si una reforma genera incertidumbre, y se identifica un aumento en los costos -servicio- de la deuda soberana... ¿Debemos considerarlo parte del impacto presupuestario? ¿Quién debe hacer la medición oficial? Preguntas serias.

A literature review on human capital with a focus on social skills, decision making, and other higher-order capacities, from David Deming and mikko silliman nber.org/papers/w32908

Sleep is an important input in the education production function for both short- and long-run outcomes. In the July issue, "Children's Sleep and Human Capital Production" by Maulik Jagnani Maulik Jagnani. zurl.co/9qZH

Great tutorial on instrumental variables for social scientists! As an update, we now have a specialized package for sensitivity analysis of IV: github.com/carloscinelli/…

How does public social care expenditure affect users' care-related quality of life? In this new publication, we provide evidence of the channels through which this effect exist taking the case of the Adult Social Care programme of England. (1/2) onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.10…

Don't miss out on this guide on how to run surveys: on creating your own identifying variation: more than 80 pages and an Appendix with examples including social desirability, vignettes, information treatments and more.

In this paper, recently available online, I measure and describe inequality of opportunity (IOp) in overnutrition for the adult population in Mexico using distributional regression techniques. (1/3)

Uno de los infiernos de Dante se llama Av. Constituyentes

De las satisfacciones más grandes como profesor es ver a tus alumnos presentar sus trabajos en foros internacionales y ampliar su red de colaboración, enhorabuena Karina Sánchez #ICUH2024 Escuela de Gobierno EVIS | Evidencia y Acción para la Equidad en Salud Institute for Obesity Research Tecnológico de Monterrey

Showing that alternative data from digital transactions through a delivery app are effective at predicting creditworthiness for borrowers with no credit history, from Laura Chioda, Paul Gertler, @SeanKHiggins, and Paolina C. Medina nber.org/papers/w33208

This QJE piece is fascinating. Cognitive endurance as a sort of trainable muscle. Really novel and persuasive.

Since most here have concluded that wokeness was a mental illness, it's worth highlighting some of the positive elements. fwiw, I also think stuff like cancelling algebra if black students perform worse on average was insane.

Not too much goin' on today, so I thought I'd tell you about a new paper just published in NEJM Evidence, w/ Josh Angrist, Carol Gao, and Robert W. Yeh We explain why instrumental variable (IV) methods are essential for randomized trials of medical interventions that fail to play out

📖🎉My new book, Impact Evaluation in Firms and Organizations With Applications in R and Python, will be published on August 5th by The MIT Press @mitpress.bsky.social and is now available for pre-order: mitpress.mit.edu/9780262552929/… #econtwitter #statstwitter

Deep meritocracy is fundamentally unstable, because elites can't tolerate their kids losing. They will engage in destructive status competition with each other, and also just directly corrupt the institutions. 1/

Really cool paper, which was unfortunately never published due to ethical concerns. Thompson and Hanley found that creating new Wikipedia articles changed the content of scientific papers. As a way of disseminating information, it is ludicrously cost effective.

🚨 New NBER working paper: "The Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers on Parenting and Children" This paper estimates the effects of receiving a $1,000/month guaranteed income for 3 years, compared to a control group receiving $50/month, on children and parents in the US. 1/

Does care quality change when doctors meet patients by phone vs. in person? A new NBER study by J-PAL affiliate Paul Gertler & coauthors finds: 📌 Telemedicine = higher quality for respiratory cases 📌 Comparable quality for malaria 📌 Lower costs & less overprescription

Recently accepted to #REStud, "Normalizations and misspecification in skill formation models," from Joachim Freyberger: restud.com/normalizations…

OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google use 10 internal prompting techniques that guarantee near-perfect accuracy…and nobody outside the labs is supposed to know them. Here are 10 of them (Bookmark this for later):