The effect that Trump has had on Polymarket can't be overstated.

You can just bet on things that are guaranteed not to happen. Trump said Liz Cheney should face a firing squad...there is zero chance he is invited to the funeral 2 days till this resolves in my favour

November was a pretty decent month for me. Did well on the Nov 4th elections and on the geopolitical front by fading the Venezuela and Ukraine outcomes. Looking forward to December with the Google Year in Search, Spotify, and end of year markets to trade. Feel a lot more in

Saylors trapped bruv, he's selling shares to keep the ponzi going. Mnav is never getting back above 1.0 trust me lad

Have taken a big yes position on Trump releasing the Epstein files for both the Dec 19th, and the Dec 31st markets. imo there is a big mispricing on these markets as people aren't really aware of the effect of the bill that Trump signed, or they are conspiracy theorists who

The Epstein client list market was an interesting one. Saw it as soon as it went up and managed to build a decent position around 87c after doing a bit of research, which indicated that by all accounts the infamous "client list" doesn't actually exist! The FBI reviewed the

The best thing about this market is that someone at Polymarket had to carefully consider how to write the rules to avoid any ambiguity over a non-qualifying sex tape

Another day, another free money Epstein market on Polymarket. This time we can make 123% APY by betting no on Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025. The FBI reviewed the files and confirmed there was no evidence Epstein engaged in blackmail. The price is likely being

They are starting to believe. This will be a nice win to end out the year

Didn't know Xi Jinping followed the crypto markets

In a couple of hours these Epstein release markets are expected to resolve yes on Polymarket. Started smashing YES on these as soon as they were posted. Here's a good tip, some of the most profitable markets are when you can get conspiracy theorists on the other side to you.

Now firmly back in the green after a rocky start on Polymarket

Very happy with the way I played these. Identified the fair value discrepancy early and held through the volatility. Will finish off the year with some bonds that don't require much input over the holidays and get back into it in the new year.

Great overview of 2025 TGEs by Memento Research and Ash. The takeaway is brutal: most tokens launched this year are down bad from TGE. And not slightly down. We’re talking 60–90% drawdowns across the board. This applies to obscure launches like $SYND, $XTER or $YALA just

What actually makes the stock market go up and down? I was chatting with friends who were frustrated with the market's resilience despite what they viewed as adverse datapoints. There has been tremendous confusion over the market's recent action, and in an attempt to organize my

Tough to keep farming $POLY while the crypto market is ripping. But sticking to the plan of farming until the snapshot 📸 Top 100 before snapshot 🙏

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