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Research Report 2: 𝐀𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐬 𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐥𝐲 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐛𝐮𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐬𝐬 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬 by: Derek Holliday Yphtach Lelkes Sean Westwood (Stanford University Annenberg School Dartmouth 🌲) 🔗doi.org/10.1093/pnasne…

Affective polarization is uniformly distributed across American States academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/arti…

Join our group! PRL is now accepting postdoc applications for 2025-2026. We're looking for strong statistical and data skills. Accepting applications through January 15, 2025. Details and instructions at polarizationresearchlab.org/hiring/

Despite so much focus of the U.S. Election on a few battleground states, affective polarization is actually geographically uniformly distributed across states, finds Derek Holliday Yphtach Lelkes Sean Westwood doi.org/10.1093/pnasne…

Very grateful for all the comments so far -- the "simple models work best" machine learning paper w Marco Morucci now has a Github (and a non-technical explainer). We'll post code soon. Thanks for interest! github.com/ArthurSpirling…

New at PNASNews with David Broockman, christian caballero & Matty Easton: "Political practitioners poorly predict which messages persuade the public." As we head into the last week of the campaign, a good reminder that political practitioners have poor intuitions as to what persuades

Most Americans think their candidate will win the election. Partisans disagree on whether the candidates *will* concede if they lose. A majority of all partisans believe the losing candidate *should* concede...but when? Read our new Path to 2024 report! prlpublic.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/reports/Octobe…

☹️🚨 Timely research alert! 🚨☹️ Joe Phillips and I ask: Do election outcomes impact affective polarization? An RDD using close House, Senate, and state-level prez results from 1996-2020 says yes. Losers depolarize by losing faith in their own side. 😢 osf.io/preprints/osf/…

PRL's annual conference is taking place in Salt Lake City May 1-2, 2025. Our application is now open 🎉 We're looking for work on democratic attitudes, broadly defined. Please apply by 12/31!! 👇 polarizationresearchlab.org/annual-meeting/

Now published in PNAS! We had a survey in the field at the time of the first assassination attempt on Trump. We found that Rs became significantly less supportive of partisan violence and had increased in-party affect. pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…

The attempted assassination of president Trump decreased support for partisan violence and did not increase polarization according to a new study in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences: pnas.org/doi/full/10.10…

How did American attitudes toward democracy shift with the election? Our final Path to 2024 report shows substantive changes in perceptions of accuracy, trust, and resignation toward democratic backsliding. Read the full report: prlpublic.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/reports/Electi…

Interested in working with PRL as a postdoc next year? Apply by January 15! We offer the opportunity to collaborate on and lead projects related to democratic attitudes, elite behavior, and more! polarizationresearchlab.org/hiring/

New year, new pub! 🥳

Like high-income & high-education voters, lower-income & education voters care most about the major issues of the day. They do not care systematically more or less than other voters about policies that expand social welfare, redistribution, or labor rights cambridge.org/core/journals/…

🚨 Two new post-docs at GW University!! Both affiliated with Institute for Data, Democracy & Politics, one will be more computational, the other more experimental. Links: gwu.jobs/postings/119777 and gwu.jobs/postings/119779 Spread the word!

🚨NEW PAPER: Why are Members of Congress so extreme? We conducted a 4-wave panel of thousands of voters in 27 districts during last year’s primary AND general elections to trace polarization’s roots The results challenge conventional wisdom… and suggest lessons for parties🧵👇