Craig Mellow (@craig_mellow) 's Twitter Profile
Craig Mellow

@craig_mellow

Emerging markets columnist at Barron's. Author: "Emerging Markets for Non-Idiots" blog; emblog.substack.com

ID: 1112901973

linkhttp://craigmellow.com calendar_today22-01-2013 23:22:29

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THIS IS PUTIN'S MOMENT. HE'LL (PROBABLY) BLOW IT., by Craig Mellow emblog.substack.com/p/this-is-puti… #Putin #Russia #GasCrisis #NaturalGas #emergingmarkets #gazprom #Ukraine

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Nice look here at China's crazy-quilt pension system and its huge historical inequities. Reforming it would be much more effective than beating up billionaires for income redistribution. But beating up billionaires is more fun: bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…

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Enough with the #Evergrande already? An ETF of Chinese developer stocks (CHIR) has rebounded to where it was when the crisis started. Of course that's still down 20% YTD. Early to pop the corks. bloomberg.com/quote/CHIR:US?… #EvergrandeCrisis #EvergrandeGroup #china #EmergingMarkets

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#China blinking on housing prices? "People familiar" say they're loosening mortgages. Housing sales down 1/3 in Sept. Only so much they can deleverage, I guess. bloomberg.com/news/articles/… #EvergrandeCrisis #Evergrande #EmergingMarkets

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U.S. oil rig count has doubled over the past year, could double again to reach pre-pandemic levels. U.S. shale is the real swing producer. Price relief should be coming. eia.gov/dnav/ng/hist/e… #oil #oilprice #OPEC #inflation

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#Brazil is a surprise vaccination leader. Its stock market, not so much. My column Barron's. barrons.com/articles/brazi… #EmergingMarkets #vaccination #bolsonaro

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#Grab IPO is second epic fail in two weeks for an #EmergingMarkets superapp after #PayTmIPO. But more focused issues are doing much better, like India's #Nykaa or #policybazaaripo. See my Barron's piece: barrons.com/articles/india… #EmergingTech

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Here's a stunning stat: Biz leaders expect HALF their revenue 5 years from now to come from products/services that DON'T EXIST today. But what? mckinsey.com/business-funct… #innovation

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Chilling that NO ONE close to power in Russia has said enough is enough and quit. #Lavrov, #Peskov eg seemed like intelligent folks playing a role for kicks and patriotism. Now they've sleepwalked into complicity in #WarCrimes. Just obeying orders, I guess. #UkraineWar

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Uh-oh, even the #Swiss are ganging up on Russia. If the #Caymanislands come on board, this could get serious. #swisssecrets #oligarchi #UkraineRussiaWar #sanctions

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#Putin's demand that #NaturalGas exports be paid in rubles is up there with #Erdogan's idea that high interest rates cause inflation. Take away #Russia's biggest source of hard currency? Brilliant Unfortunately for customers, it can't happen. #Gazprom #EmergingMarkets

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#Biden's first really bad move on Ukraine, saying #Putin cannot stay in power. Just when #Russia may be giving up on total victory, not the time to start closing off-ramps. #UkraineWar #UkraineRussianWar

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Looks like #UK #Tories have #GOP primary issues on steroids. Party members chose #Truss for #PM. 12% of public think she'll do a good job. 52% think she'll be "bad or terrible." washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/…

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A shrill, hysterical tone in #Putin mobilization speech that's hard to appreciate if you don't understand Russian. Coda threatening nukes was bona fide scary. #PutinSpeech #WMD #UkraineRussiaWar

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A persuasive op-ed that shows how much productive middle ground exists between "tough on crime" and "defund the police" #crime #nyc #policing #homelessness nytimes.com/2022/12/12/opi…

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Emerging Markets for Non-Idiots: PUTIN'S DADDY ISSUES (WHICH ARE HIS SOLDIERS' GRAND-DADDY ISSUES) emblog.substack.com/p/putins-daddy…