It's not done yet. Hearing reports that the Nobel prize for literature will be going to the authors of "OpenAI's nonprofit governance structure" for outstanding contributions to creative fiction.

Why are humans winning the prize instead of the AI solving the actual problems? AlphaFold is more deserving. This seems like some woke DEI thing.

Dissecting Inefficiency in Prediction Markets It is well known that polls are subject to statistical errors, and this error is accounted for by the margin of error. Betting markets, on the other hand, are subject to inefficiency. These inefficiencies can be accounted for by

New paper: Are LLMs capable of introspection, i.e. special access to their own inner states? Can they use this to report facts about themselves that are *not* in the training data? Yes — in simple tasks at least! This has implications for interpretability + moral status of AI 🧵

This was pretty cool to play around with. I asked it to turn the whole world into paperclips, though, and it struggled to find anything useful from Saks Fifth Avenue.

Sports are a counterexample to Kant's claim that you need to adopt the position of a disinterested observer to appreciate art.

FREDDY FREEMAN WE ARE NOT WORTHY!!!!!🙌🏾🙌🏾🙌🏾🙌🏾🙌🏾

Hahahaha

Can any AI do a good job turning hand drawn diagrams into Tikz equivalents? I want to do this in Tikz and also hate using Tikz.

Ben Levinstein Daniel Litt Sure, here is the TikZ code; I added some explanation: tikz.org/drawing

GPT-4o seems so dumb and useless these days compared to Claude. Claude tells me to STFU multiple times a day, which stops lots of my work and hurts my feelings. I've tried switching over to GPT, but it's not the same. Do people still use 4o much for work- or coding-related tasks?

Ahahahahaha. What a dumbass.

My current take on Apollo's recent scheming paper is that they aren’t emphasizing the most interesting results, which are the sandbagging results in section 3.6 and appendix A.6 (screenshot of the key numbers below). In more particular: the paper frames its results centrally as

New Anthropic research: Alignment faking in large language models. In a series of experiments with Redwood Research, we found that Claude often pretends to have different views during training, while actually maintaining its original preferences.

very excited about this explainer on AI self-awareness; one of the most important AI capabilities to keep tabs on imo

I'm old enough to remember when getting double digit scores on FrontierMath was considered super hard I'm 6 weeks old

A couple more brief thoughts on o3’s (incredible) performance on FrontierMath.

i actually read the Odyssey in the original greek. complete waste of time, i have no idea what those symbols mean

Mindscape 301 | Tina Eliassi-Rad on Al, Networks, and Epistemic Instability. If we're all just vectors in a huge dataset, might as well turn it to our advantage. #MindscapePodcast preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2025/0…