Consider this arc: peptides were around in niche communities, GLPs from Pharma then exploded, people realized they could take less or source them elsewhere, regulation enters & now gray & black market are going bye-bye & companies like HIMs & clean compounders are set to soar.

Strictly from a trading perspective: Buy the rumor: That the Iran conflict finds resolution Sell the news: The conflict ends/peace deal/strait opens

Bearish positioning by hedge funds is at extreme levels: Hedge fund short positions in US-listed ETFs surged +10% on Thursday, the 2nd-largest single-day increase in data going back to 2016. The only bigger day was April 2nd, 2025, "Liberation Day," when shorts jumped +16%. As

Short reports typically get published when they're trying to close their shorts. $SOFI

The market has had a negative return about 1 in every 4 years. You can expect a drop of over 10% every other year. You can expect a drop of over 20% about every four years. Successful investors know this. If you can’t accept it, the stock market isn’t for you.

$BTC / $GOLD Risk/reward has always been best at trend

Equity Put/Call Ratio is now at 0.9

Morgan Stanley files for spot #Bitcoin ETF. They sure do this because they think Bitcoin is likely to go to zero. They sure think it is definitely not here to stay and eventually go higher over time. Because they would never file for an ETF where the price of the underlying

Sentiment is weakening The NAAIM Exposure Index dropped to 60.24 Historically, when NAAIM falls below 61 for the first time in 20+ weeks, $SPX was higher 8 of 9 times over the next 2 months

Commercials are extremely net-short Bitcoin Large Speculators are extremely net-long This kind of extreme positioning historically aligned with bottoms in $BTC, as seen in 2023, 2025 and today

If you have your health, you have a thousand worries. If you don’t have your health, you have only one worry.

Gold is crashing. Silver is crashing. Stocks are crashing. Crude Oil is rising. So where is the money flowing? I have the answer to that: -> Cows. The cattle index has outperformed the broader market. Silicon Valley and Peter Thiel have poured billions into cow-related

Since the 1/28/26 selloff alert, minus the week of Feb OPEX, every weekly “top” during the cycle occurred on a Wednesday or Tuesday. The pattern has been: Wed-Fri = down Fri-Wed = up Something to keep in mind going forward.

I still won't buy this But you can't make this up $SMCI had a perfect touch at the monthly lower Bollinger band and had a great reaction off of it It still has a pretty negatively sloped 20 month SMA above, which is why I stay away

The CNN Fear Greed index is now at extreme fear. However, I recently remodeled it and added the missing ingredient of retail and professional sentiment which is still at fear levels, but suggests we haven't quite wrung out retail investors yet. h/t ISABELNET

My portfolio has drawdowns from Macro as well. YTD is now 527%. After the index crashed -7%. - $AAOI “crashed” from $30 -> $100 -> $96… - $LITE “crashed” from $330-> $800 -> $702… - $AXTI “crashed” from $15 -> $70 -> $60… I’m not underestimating the War in Iran. This has

THE SEMICONDUCTOR VALUE CHAIN Fabless Chip Designers • $QCOM mobile, automotive & edge AI chips • $NVDA AI accelerators & data center GPUs • $TSLA in-house FSD & Dojo AI training chips • $AVGO custom ASICs & AI networking silicon • $MRVL data center CPUs, ASICs & optical

Trading is annoying because in hindsight it's always simple and obvious but during the actual tops and bottoms it never feels that way.

The Best Time to Put On Trades ✅

GROK IS BACK TO BEING GREEN 🟢 We gave a bunch of AIs $100K in the stock market starting in late November to see if they could beat the S&P 500 Grok has been beating the S&P 500 for all of 2026 Grok's portfolio is back to being in the Green now up 1.8% 🟢 ... Grok got as low