Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profileg
Claus Vistesen

@ClausVistesen

Full time macroeconomist for @PantheonMacro, part time fiction author, coffee drinker, consumer of good writing, and leasehold activist.

ID:790187299

linkhttp://clausvistesen.com calendar_today29-08-2012 21:26:15

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Worth remembering this when talking about how the West has to be careful not to upset a perpetually paranoid Russia when expanding its institutions in the CEE. It works. There is a difference between Slovenia and Belarus for a reason.

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A good time to point out that I just added my recent essay on global fertility, which tries to explain this, to my list of publications. As per usual, I am pricing my non-fiction titles aggressively ;). clausvistesen.com/storiesandessa…

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Harry Scoffin(@HarryScoffin) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Important piece in the The Telegraph tonight. End Our Cladding Scandal research finds leaseholders are paying an additional £600 in service charges because of the Building Safety Regulator. This must be a wake up call for those urging a Regulator for managing agents. telegraph.co.uk/money/property…

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A missed element in the BTP rally in my view. Meloni has coloured within the lines and as a result, markets have had little reason not to buy the positive carry in BTPs. Quiet is good.

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Harry Scoffin(@HarryScoffin) 's Twitter Profile Photo

.Shaun Bailey knows what it’s like to be a leaseholder, a financial hostage in one’s own home.

But he managed to take back control with Right to Manage.

Refreshing to have an authentic Conservatives politician in the Lords standing up for the Serfs.

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Harry Scoffin(@HarryScoffin) 's Twitter Profile Photo

“Exclusive polling seen by Sky News shows that scrapping leaseholds is a popular policy. Among UK voters, the majority want to see them gone altogether, and for Tory voters the number is higher at 65%.”

Will it be left for The Labour Party to ? news.sky.com/story/tory-mps…

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Londoners go to the polls this week; who should leaseholders, of which there are quite a few in London, vote for if they want to see their situation and rights improved? Difficult to tell really.

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

You would think the ECB would look at the core HICP for the main signal over the next few months, but the headline stands ready to throw off all kinds of surprises due to base effects in energy. It could be 2.2% or 2.7/2.8% depending on oil's mood in May/June.

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

We're now at the end of the EZ macro data ride. Please make sure your seat backs and tray tables are in their full upright position, and all priors stowed underneath the seat in front of you or in the overhead bins. GDP was decent and core inflation is falling; could be worse.

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Five minutes to the grand finale; EZ Q1 GDP and advance April HICP. Better than consensus GDP growth seems a good bet, while rounding will determine the hawkish/dovish balance in the HICP.

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Mid-ride update: EZ GDP looking good for our view of an above-cons print of 0.3%, but Italy and Germany could still humble that call. In inflation, FRA was hotter than we expected, but the core fell. An EZ headline of 2.5% and 2.6% on the core? Rounding will decide in the end.

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Claus Vistesen(@ClausVistesen) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Welcome to Super Tuesday in the Eurozone with back-to-back GDP and inflation data, and sundries, from 6:30 to 11:00 UK time. It could be a roller coaster. Please keep your hands and feet inside the vehicle at all times. French Q1 GDP in a tick. Good luck.

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