The incoming two months of CPI data will push market to be confused. Demand will be weakened by supply. What I have idea of demand is that pressured supply environment will crowd out demand. Stock effects will be strong enough. Because fundamental demand has already been

Recently some guys say that recent new era of government will boost economy growth. I don't think so. Many people make same mistake of demand fantasy. But among countries, Korea is the most fatal to supply chain. Rather own power, I treat that Korea can be benefit from China.

Great insight. And I think lots of participants are addicted to high NFP figures. And again FED is preparing of reviewing their framework.

Nope. it’s not adequate timing over bond rally. Seemingly demand destruction is necessary. Without it, TSY will be struck with narrow ranges. We should see inflation first and see a sign of absorbing real purchasing power.

I believe Ueda and Ishiba seem to be somewhat tolerant of the yen’s weakness. Ishiba attempted a form of patriotic marketing—similar to Mark Carney’s approach—by making negotiations with US more difficult. However, during this process, inflation became more pronounced, and due

BLS announces that DOGE has affect over CPI sampling. Let's see what will happen bls.gov/cpi/notices/20… edition.cnn.com/2025/06/05/eco…

After reviewing today’s print overall, I found a few oddities. First, while less popular goods have shown inflationary pressure for several months, the service items that attract more attention are seeing notable disinflation, driven by OER, rents, and lodging. This dataset seems

I feel like TSY rates soars up. Sooner or later people will realize that BLS figures are really troublesome.

I know that recent geopolitical risk converged to peace. But yesterday I saw the move and pricing over market was weird. The risk(sigma) is enlarging. I will be preparing of more intensified sigma.

Every scenario is possible. The edge of each spectrum is widening more and more. So I don’t care of any market reaction. Just wait for decisive development.

shut up Macron. France has been always the problem.

I’ve always considered myself fairly neutral, and I understand that, historically, the expected value of geopolitics has been zero. But what’s happening now is beyond the realm of reason and neutrality. It feels increasingly like tail risks are rising. This isn’t just about oil

BOK governor Lee must listen SNB Martin Schlegel’s speech.

First messy phase came today. I’m waiting second.(Iran’s retaliation) The second phase is much more uncertain. There will be more fake news. The best-case scenario we hope for is Iran’s surrender, and the worst-case scenario is an escalation beyond just Iran and Israel. If the

I watched it very seriously and since it began, I've been ready for real tail risks. The tail risks are not more hypothetical. It's worthwhile to take out insurance maybe.