Thomas Gumede (@thomasgumede) 's Twitter Profile
Thomas Gumede

@thomasgumede

Head of Research, Founder: @topdowncharts Global Marco & Asset Allocation Research (tweets = for traders only)

ID: 205678159

linkhttp://chartstorm.substack.com calendar_today21-10-2010 11:30:25

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7. Lend Me Your Ear(ning)s Bank loan officers greater chance of saying "no" πŸš«πŸ™…β€β™‚οΈ = greater chance of earnings recession... h/t #AlessioUrban $MACRO $SPX $SPY

7. Lend Me Your Ear(ning)s

Bank loan officers greater chance of saying "no" πŸš«πŸ™…β€β™‚οΈ = greater chance of earnings recession...

h/t #AlessioUrban $MACRO $SPX $SPY
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10. Global stocks vs bonds indicator saying 2 things: -long way to go in the equity bear market -odds are massively in favor of bonds beating stocks in the coming months/years h/t #IanRHarnett

10. Global stocks vs bonds indicator saying 2 things:

-long way to go in the equity bear market

-odds are massively in favor of bonds beating stocks in the coming months/years

h/t #IanRHarnett
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big moves following CPI last week, a few of those markets were "ready" to turn anyway -- essentially looking for any excuse, could see extension of these moves: otherwise relatively quiet data week... (albeit with rolling crypto crises in the background)

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Emerging Market Equity Technicals Something interesting is going on in emerging market equities After peaking in early 2021, the MSCI Emerging Markets index fell -35% from top to bottom in local currency terms (or -42% in US$ terms), but things are changing...

Emerging Market Equity Technicals

Something interesting is going on in emerging market equities

After peaking in early 2021, the MSCI Emerging Markets index fell -35% from top to bottom in local currency terms (or -42% in US$ terms), but things are changing...
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Charts from the weekly surveys by # Callum this week overall bulls vs bears ticked higher, but on both counts fundamentals + technicals sentiment were measured in their moves, not going full-bull...

Charts from the weekly surveys by # Callum this week overall bulls vs bears ticked higher, but on both counts fundamentals + technicals sentiment were measured in their moves, not going full-bull...
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Bond survey on the other hand continuing its apparent uptrend, long-term basing pattern, hard lurch to the most bullish in 2yrs... is this "it" for bonds?

Bond survey on the other hand continuing its apparent uptrend, long-term basing pattern, hard lurch to the most bullish in 2yrs... is this "it" for bonds?
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Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 13 November 2022 by #Callum_Thomas #topdowncharts chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and… My two favorites from the 11 great charts this week.

Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 13 November 2022
by #Callum_Thomas #topdowncharts 
chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…
My two favorites from the 11 great charts this week.
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H2 has basically been a story of: -pivot hope on -pivot hope off Market is currently in pivot-hope-on mode... Fed doesn't seem to be too happy about this. Not to say it won't last, but at some point Fed may opt to rug markets again to bring things back into line

H2 has basically been a story of:
-pivot hope on 
-pivot hope off

Market is currently in pivot-hope-on mode... Fed doesn't seem to be too happy about this.  Not to say it won't last, but at some point Fed may opt to rug markets again to bring things back into line
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ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and… Thanks + follow reco to chart sources: #topdowncharts #SPGlobalPMI #Mayhem4Markets #AlessioUrban #ISABELNET_SA #JohnPlassard #IanRHarnett

ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post chartstorm.substack.com/p/weekly-s-and…

Thanks + follow reco to chart sources:
#topdowncharts
#SPGlobalPMI 
#Mayhem4Markets
#AlessioUrban
#ISABELNET_SA
#JohnPlassard
#IanRHarnett
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Fund managers are heavily overweight defensive assets, and underweight cyclical/risk-on assets (not necessarily wrong, actually I would say the evidence supports this positioning, but interesting to see where consensus is among this group)

Fund managers are heavily overweight defensive assets, and underweight cyclical/risk-on assets

(not necessarily wrong, actually I would say the evidence supports this positioning, but interesting to see where consensus is among this group)