A survey team from NWS Paducah has found high end EF-3 damage so far from the long track tornado that impacted areas from near Eddyville to near Earlington, KY. Due to the severe damage, structural engineering experts will be providing assistance with rating this tornado.

I don't think I've ever seen a DVD sized hail on a svr warning before. Wild stuff

This may be the best storm photo I ever take, and I’m OK with that. Absolutely phenomenal storm structure with classic tornado underneath tonight near Silverton, TX #txwx

Pending final data from ERA5, this ridge appears to have marginally broken the 1950-present annual record maximum 500-hPa heights in the Northeast, despite failing to break the 600 dam threshold. OKX's sounding recorded 598 dam 500-hPa height, tying the record from 2013 & 2018.

As the 2024 #BEST field season ends, a glimpse into the data collection during the Greenfield, IA tornado. Peak wind speeds as high as 309-318 mph were calculated in a narrow region 100-160 feet ARL. These are among the highest wind speeds ever determined using DOW data.

Our CAG is finally dying out and the associated atmospheric forcing over the Americas is fading with it. This forcing is progressing eastward over Africa which has sparked our wave train. Models have begun hinting at some tropical wave-induced TC activity as a result. (1/3)

Ok…

NWS North Platte Hyannis

Monster tornado near Whitman Nebraska right now! Holy crap!

Neat structural changes with #Beryl tonight, going from the CCCesque blob to a healthier look with banding returning. Getting some cyclonically rotating convective bursts on the east side suggesting a possible coupling to the LLC. As long as shear doesn't strengthen, we should

An AMSU microwave pass over Tropical Storm #Beryl from ~ 3 hours ago showed an eyewall beginning to develop around #Beryl's center of circulation. This is very likely a precursor to much more rapid intensification. 👀👀👀

Update: 11:35 AM AST Sunday - Reconnaissance aircraft find #Beryl has strengthen into an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane with maximum winds of 130 mph. Life-threatening winds and storm surge expected in the Windward Islands beginning early Monday morning. Latest at

Hurricane #Beryl Advisory 13A: Noaa Hurricane Hunters Find Beryl Even Stronger as it Moves Quickly Across the Southeastern Caribbean. Hurricane Warning Issued For Jamaica. hurricanes.gov

Hurricane #Beryl Advisory 14: Beryl Becomes a Potentially Catastrophic Category 5 Hurricane In the Eastern Caribbean. Expected to Bring Life-Threatening Winds and Storm Surge To Jamaica Later This Week. hurricanes.gov

Hurricane #Beryl Advisory 14A: Category 5 Beryl Still Intensifying in the Southeastern Caribbean. Expected to Bring Life-Threatening Winds and Storm Surge To Jamaica Later This Week. hurricanes.gov

Niño3.4 is finally negative, but today's CanSIPS update has nearly lost the La Niña signal for this winter. It's a remarkable change from the forecasts issued a few months ago.

Getting somewhat closer to winter forecasting season, so while an all out outlook in early September is not recommended, we can look at a general look to see what winter might bring for the Mid-Atlantic.

TORNADOES: While not immediately clear how high or widespread the tornado risk will be after landfall with Hurricane #Francine, it's one to watch. As a punch of very dry air aloft gets wrapped around the remnant low, atop of rich gulf moisture at the surface and instability,

Good thread on finding the best analogs for this upcoming winter!

This -PDO has got to go It's been plaguing winter for the SE US for too long