Seeking a postdoc in the climate/health space. Collaborate with University of Maryland School of Medicine and CU Boulder 🦬 /CIRES. Funding up to 3 years.

To keep below 1.5°C, with a 50-50 chance, would require global CO2 emissions to be zero in ~2038 (orange line).

The other scenarios (blue) overshoot to ~1.6°C before going back <1.5°C in 2100 (& they start with a global carbon price in 2020).

1/

Working titles that ended up on the cutting room floor included:

“Submerging emergent constraints”
and
“Cooling off on the hot model problem”.

Can confirm!
This is global zonal mean (averaged 'round the world at each latitude) sea surface temperature anomaly since from 1/1982-2/2024, using NOAA OIv2 high-res SST.

Excited to see my former student Ryan Harp speak on climate-informed West Nile virus forecasts at today's CU Climate & Health symposium at CU Anschutz Medical Campus!

#postdoc opening. Join us at the malaria research program University of Maryland School of Medicine to help with our new projects on #malaria epidemiology and #climate health. Contact me ASAP if interested. Please RT and share widely!

🚨 Our sea-level attribution study is out in Earth's Future! Humans caused Indo-Pacific warm pool rise, but impacts vary by region & time. Tropical Indian Ocean patterns and local increase in ocean mass matter in coastal & shallow regions.
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
Sea Level Research

We are at #OSM24 , booth 436 (3pm Mon-1pm Thu)! We look forward to meeting you and sharing Argovis’ latest features. An expert can help you get started with accessing and colocating data on the web interface or via a Python notebook on the browser. #NSFfunded #CUBoulderATOC

A Century of Reforestation Reduced Anthropogenic Warming in the Eastern United States - Barnes - 2024 - Earth's Future - Wiley Online Library agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…

Beautiful ITCZ with dry pockets (yellowish) to the north and south. Thanks UW Atmos/Ocean Sci

📢New Center for Social and Environmental Futures report on climate change opinion and recent presidential elections. 📢

We find that climate-conscious voters are ~2/3 of voters; they strongly prefer Democrats; & climate change opinion probably cost Trump the 2020 election. 1/ doi.org/10.5281/zenodo…

Local view of the cold front passage last night in Boulder. On main campus, peak observed cooling rate was 8.5°F in 5 minutes. It's cold!
CU Boulder 🦬 CU Boulder 🦬ATOC NWS Boulder City of Boulder

2023 was the hottest year on record, spawning heavy rainfall, disastrous floods and raging wildfires. These record global temperatures are likely to continue in 2024. on.wsj.com/494zD35 on.wsj.com/494zD35

All alone atop Mt. Sanitas. That's a first. Where is everyone, City of Boulder???

Global CO2 emissions continue to track in the middle of the range of SSP-based scenarios (developed around 2015).

Still need to bend the emissions curve into 1.5-2°C territory.

Figure includes latest (2023) CO2 estimates & AR6 temperature projections (far right)

Can climate models reproduce observed trends in the tropical Pacific SST gradient? Does their ability to do so (or not) have implications for climate sensitivity? In a new paper led by Maria Rugenstein and Shreya Dhame, we show … 🧵

doi.org/10.1029/2023GL…