Let’s please be aware of our word choice today folks!

There was a surge of enthusiasm for Harris post-Biden dropout, but that might have happened no matter what. Thought convention speech was good, but bypassing Shapiro beginning to look bad and they haven't really found a 2nd gear after Hot Brat Summer. x.com/PpollingNumber…

This is why I don’t really get why people are working backwards to give logic to every decision her team makes (no policy page, waiting weeks to give an interview, etc.). This is not a team that has earned the benefit of the doubt. Tbh, we should assume they are fucking up.

Possibly the most reliable election model you could build is the inverse probability of an AI sentiment analysis of who is unskewing the polls more.

Protip if you're a contact lens wearer you can basically subsidize a trip to Europe by a couple hundreded bucks, cheaper there and don't require a prescription getting renewed.

On this week’s Risky Business, Nate Silver is off on book tour and I’m joined by my friend, the great Brian Koppelman to talk risk in Hollywood, writing, and much more. Listen here: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ris…

.Brian Koppelman (Rounders, Billions, The Bear) talks with Maria Konnikova about navigating risk in Hollywood and beyond on #RiskyBusiness: lnk.to/X0In2j

Really enjoyed this Zvi Mowshowitz newsletter about one of the hopefully more fun concepts in the book. thezvi.substack.com/p/ai-and-the-t…

Which state is Kamala Harris more likely to win?

Jay, you're a journalism professor and you've been credibly accused of obvious hypocrisy and bias. Wouldn't you tell one of your students to address this? x.com/NateSilver538/…