NYT/Siena polls over time

Registered Voters
Dec 14 🟥 Trump +2
Feb 28 🟥 Trump +5
Apr 11 🟥 Trump +1

Likely Voters
Dec 14 🟦 Biden +2
Feb 28 🟥 Trump +4
Apr 11 🟥 Trump +1

To contain this conflict Biden must adopt the same 'bearhug' strategy as he did with Bibi. Claim the scud missile attacks are actually misfired Israeli rockets. Tell the IDF to shoot straight.

this was an insanely legit ticket its honestly really embarrassing that they only got like 3% of the vote

We need a name for this kind of writing style. “Epicspeak”?

Really depressing to read a book as poignant and beautiful as Blood Meridian and sit there the whole time thinking “this is so normie-proof 😈”

not really

The bold social democratic leadership of promising to reinstate an Obama-era fair-housing rule that Trump repealed, then sitting on it for three years, and now dangling it in 2025 as a way to get people to turn out to vote.
huffpost.com/entry/affirmat…

“Senator I always thought you were an anti-racist but it seems like you value Israeli lives more than Palestinian lives, is that true?”
FETTERMAN: “Still with Israel”
“So you think an Israeli life is more valuable than a Palestinian life?”
FETTERMAN: “Okay”

“Trump doing worst among the voters who are paying the most attention to the election strongly indicates that he will lose support as the election gets closer, and his lead isn’t large enough to survive that” vs “No it doesn’t”

Fwiw, even though I think Biden is a bad candidate, I still have him favored over Trump because there are a number of big things that point towards him making a comeback later on in the year. The argument for Trump winning is basically just “nothing ever happens.”

ettingermentum🥥🌴 Biden also now winning double haters like Dems did on 22 is big

Increased election interest leading to increases in support for Biden is the exact bull case for Ds this year, very very good news for them if this happens consistently.

interesting poll, not as friendly per others but does show biden gaining from nov, biggest thing is basically gains with minority voters

I almost admire the audacity with which this man has only one idea and has been writing some version of this piece incessantly since the Bush era. Even Tom Friedman isn't this derivative and one-note.