The Tories are going into this election with a similar 21-point lead as SNP had over Labour in Scotland last time. electionsetc.com/2017/04/22/ano…

Seat projection reconciling GB and Scottish polls: Con 390 Lab 181 LD 9 SNP 47 Majority 130 electionsetc.com/2017/04/24/sea…

ICYMI Tories going into this election with similar 21 point lead as SNP had over Labour in 2015. electionsetc.com/2017/04/22/ano…

English local elections seats forecast from polls Con +430 Lab -315 LD -30 electionsetc.com/2017/05/02/for…

Scottish Local Elections Forecast (Change in %Vote Seats): CON+14+172 LAB-25-319 LD0+11 SNP+11+129 electionsetc.com/2017/05/03/sco…

First Combined Forecast for the 2017 general election: Conservative majority of 132 electionsetc.com/2017/05/12/fir…

UKIP dropout did not help the Conservatives much in the local elections | Elections Etc electionsetc.com/2017/05/13/uki…

Combined forecast update: Conservative majority of 123 electionsetc.com/2017/05/19/com…

What’s been happening in the polls? | Elections Etc electionsetc.com/2017/05/20/wha…

Combined forecast for GE2017: second update: Conservative majority of 100 electionsetc.com/2017/05/26/com…

Update on my Combined Forecast with Rosalind Shorrocks and John Kenny: Conservative majority of 100 electionsetc.com/2017/05/26/com…

Combined forecast for GE2017: third update: Conservative majority of 71 electionsetc.com/2017/06/02/com…

Labour poll surge mainly thanks to younger women, but also old, as gender gap emerged after Tory manifesto launch. electionsetc.com/2017/06/02/lab…

Polls-based forecast: Con 9.5 lead Con 48 majority Pr(Con majority) = 87% Combined forecast to come electionsetc.com/2017/06/08/pol…

Final Combined Forecast for GE2017 Conservative majority of 66. electionsetc.com/2017/06/08/fin…

How Theresa May lost her majority and how Scots have kept the Tories in government | Elections Etc electionsetc.com/2017/06/09/how…

Forecasting Local Election Seat Gains/Losses 2018: Con +8, Lab -131, LD -83. electionsetc.com/2018/05/02/for…

Correction: Forecasting Local Election Seat Gains/Losses 2018: Con +8, Lab +131, LD -83 electionsetc.com/2018/05/02/for…

How big a lead does Labour need in the local elections to be on course to win the next general election? electionsetc.com/2018/05/03/how…

Calculating the local elections Projected National Share (PNS) in 2018 by John Curtice and Steve Fisher electionsetc.com/2018/05/02/cal…