We started Malengo Inc. in 2021 to support Ugandan students on their journey to a Bachelor's degree in Germany. That year, we admitted 10 students. In 2022, we admitted 30. Please meet the Malengo Inc. class of 2023: ONE HUNDRED AND TWENTY STUDENTS! Here's how we did it: 1/n

New working paper alert! We have developed a new method to recover causal relationships from observational data regardless of the data structure - no instrument, RD, or other source of quasi-experimental variation needed. Abstract below, read more here: deryugina.com/wp-content/upl…

But actually do it. I usually use frequentist statistics. But something I love from bayesian stats culture is the widespread use of 0.89 as a threshold, which I believe Richard McElreath 🦔 started. Why use 0.89 instead of a round 0.90? To remind ourselves how arbitrary the cutoff is.

Interesting calculation by Rene Bekkers on the cost of grant applications: - 242 researchers applied for a total of €46.5M in funding (2019 NWO Vici grant) - 87% did not get the grant - total time spend on applications ≈ €18.7M renebekkers.wordpress.com/2020/02/19/cut…

Great Awokening is a global phenomenon. No evidence it started in US media. Analysis of 98 million news articles across 36 countries quantifies. Exception: state-controlled media from China/Russia/Iran using wokeness terminology to criticize/mock the West davidrozado.substack.com/p/gag

Thrilled to see our replication of Lost in the Mall published in Memory! With a 5x larger sample, we replicate the original findings + find high rates of self-reported false memories and beliefs & that mock jurors believed the mall event happened. tandfonline.com/eprint/QNVY83Y…

New paper.

One of the best parts of the job

Stu is fighting the good fight. The argument that breastfeeding has major benefits is based on little evidence and the continued insistence it matters so much does little more than shame women who struggle to breastfeed. Let's look at the causal evidence for IQ. Here's some:

Prediction markets on Wagner Group / Prigozhin situation... Coup or regime change in 🇷🇺 by 2024: ⬆️5%, up +2 points from 3% on Metaculus Civil war/'large-scale armed conflict' in 🇷🇺 by 2030: ⬆️55%, up +25 points‼️ on Metaculus Putin stays in power... ◦ by Jul:⬇️95%, down

Congratulations, simine vazire! #psychtwitter #psychologicalscience psychologicalscience.org/publications/p…

I'm winding down my use of Twitter, moving to Threads. I will probably post new papers and job postings here, but that is about it. If you want to join me on Threads you can find me at the same username: @ethulin If you are on Threads, please feel free to reply w/ your handle!

Thrilled to see this amazing #BeSci resource out in print! Our chapter, written with Erik Thulin and #MichellePascual, dives into Rare's approach to creating lasting environmental impact by layering #BehaviorChange interventions over time: link.springer.com/chapter/10.100… #Env #Consci

.@rare_org in the The Washington Post! Great column by Michael J. Coren on how your individual climate actions are amplified by those around you, w/ research and insights from my colleagues Erik Thulin and Brooke Betts. To quote the Beastie Boys, ch-check it out. washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…

Behavioral science policy recommendations early in the pandemic were LARGELY CORRECT. Our global collaboration in nature covers 747 studies with an average sample size over 16,000! Evidence supports 16 of 19 claims, with lessons for science & policy. nature.com/articles/s4158…

Is there a good, non-invasive way to manage the risk of infection from daycare? It seems like a nontrivial drag on worker productivity

If 92% of charging stations will be in the home as this research suggests, this really isn’t much of a network externality problem. Very different from the original cars and gas stations energy.gov/eere/vehicles/…

Ryan is saving people's lives at around $5,000 each, and you could too. That's pretty cool stuff. givewell.org/international/…