Rota Here’s an interesting analysis. theactuary.com/2020/12/02/tue… It explicitly assumes births are independent and equally likely on any day. So it rules out identical twins.

Phelan found not guilty of murdering man on Tallaght farm via RTÉ News rte.ie/news/courts/20…

Garda Clifford agreed to tip over to Doon, the nearest village, to collect the medication in the pharmacy while Garda Fitzgerald, who was off-duty today, got his tractor’s engine going. They took off up the hills in the tractor and dropped off the prescriptions as needed.

Interesting transcript - well done David Spiegelhalter for balanced, coherent and informative statements. Interesting early question on ‘what is the role of statistics in the health service!’

I saw this and thought of Oliver Johnson - a good use of the y axis. And also quite a dramatic observation. Reassuringly we spend most of our lives in the falls and hilariously catapult accidents space.

Donald J. Trump

Donald J. Trump Negative Impacts: Short-Term: 1. Higher Consumer Prices: Tariffs increase costs for goods like energy and imports from China, directly impacting consumers. 2. Retaliation Risks: Trade partners may impose counter-tariffs, harming U.S. exporters like farmers and manufacturers.

Surely we are beyond reasonable doubt? Some of us have been there for a while. 🤔

Is there a single NHS clinician who has read this report and still thinks that Lucy Letby is guilty? It's not pleasant, but please do read this document: drive.google.com/file/d/1aV4zww…

Four years ago, I named my little boy after the region in Sierra Leone where I’ve learned the most about life over the last two decades. Today, I could have cried with happiness as they named the new sleeping quarters for mothers after him ❤️❤️😭😭 When we set up the Neonatal

Interesting OP and 🧵- I can see the error Musk has made here - easy to happen if working with programmers / data engineers unfamiliar with system architecture / protocols which will be the case when walking into a ‘new’ system. Hope they don’t try a ‘dedupe!’ Easy mistake.

Okay 👌 are we seeing a triple Blue Ocean Event? Arctic and Antarctic and the third Poles are record low this may trigger more warming and most people do not even know! They are totally clueless and so no emergency 🚨 will avoid the ongoing Chaos.

Just published - our letter in The Lancet Neurology, again asking for open and transparent reporting of data around accelerated brain volume loss with use of amyloid antibodies and for this to be taken seriously until we know more about long-term consequences.

Johan de Aguas Dylan Armbruster Adan Z Becerra, PhD Judea Pearl Frank Harrell BobDu Roger Borràs Elmir Omerovic Gregg W. Stone MD Xuanyu Shi Giulio Grossi Sanjay Kaul Stephen John Senn John Mandrola, MD The selection bias you should be concerned about is e.g. who is selected for tx A vs B in observational data. That is a MUCH larger problem than worrying RCTs don’t generalize

Daughter, speaking to an eminent academic psychiatrist at a meeting in the pub organised by @IoPPN to connect trainees with researchers last night. After discussing different FDA/MHRA safety processes, he suggested she should follow @profrobhoward on here. “Er, he’s my dad”.

Elon Musk has just become the ultimate outrage disinformation machine. Whenever I see a tweet by him on any topic I know something about, he's totally, utterly wrong. 3/

‼️ very interesting plot from SANO RCT esophageal ca chemoRT->cCR->AS vs surgery ITT DFS Adjusted HR 0.97 (0.63-1.47) This is fascinating and strikes me as the most reassuring data from the whole trial and its tucked into the appendix

Beautiful afternoon to meet The President and his lovely First Lady at The Áras with a great crew from Bealtaine Festival great hospitality and his energy is boundless. Delighted to finally get to see this historic building.

As Liverpool win the Premier League for the second time, they complete the opening of a quite remarkable sequence, 33 years in the making. #Fibonacci

“Picasso has nailed the essential flamingosity.” is up there with “Horseness is the whatness of allhorse.” There’s a Joyce in you yet otj.