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Axiom

@axiomgold

Economic Commentary.

ID: 292652234

linkhttp://www.axiomoil.com calendar_today04-05-2011 00:39:21

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Small caps are not showing the strength needed to break out of the downtrend. As of now small caps are the weakest of the major U.S. indexes

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The SPX rose this week but remains well below its old rising trend support line and will be expected to act as strong resistance .

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The initial selloff in August was so fierce that reaching a final bottom in only five days of selling seems unlikely.

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Gold stocks rallied, broke above their 50-day moving average line, and closed slightly above their old 2008 bear market lows.

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Wednesday's fed inspired rally pushed small caps up to the RUT 1180 resistance level, but they promptly fell back into their trading range.

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without small caps being at least part of the bullish picture, there is a small black cloud over the rally's fireworks.

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For three weeks gold stocks attempted to breakout above their 2008 bear market lows but have failed. The short term advance has reversed.

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On Wednesday the Federal Reserve left its benchmark short-term interest rate near zero but signaled that a rate hike is still on the table

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In their statement, the Fed recognized that job gains had slowed, but that economic growth, though moderate, continued.

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With the Fed back on track to raise shortterm rates the stock market, liking security, stability and knowledge of what is to occur, rallied.