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Federal voting intention: 25-34 🟥 ALP: 32% 🟩 GRN: 23.5% 🟦 L/NP: 20% Roy Morgan | 30 June-27 July

🚨 NEW: 41% of Australians think Israel should permanently withdraw its military action in Gaza, while just 15% believe Israel is justified in continuing

🚨 NEW: "Thinking about the Australian government's response to the Israel-Gaza war, which of the following is closest to your view?" Satisfied with response: 52% (-4) Too supportive of Israel: 32% (+2) Too harsh on Israel: 16% (+2) Essential | July 2025 | n=1012 | +/- Oct 2024

🚨 NEW: Anthony Albanese approval 🟢 Approve: 50% (-) 🔴 Disapprove: 41% (+2) ⚪️ Don't know: 9% (-2) Essential | July 2025 | n=1012 | +/- May 2025

🚨 NEW: "In general, would you say that Australia is heading in the right direction or is it off on the wrong track?" 🔴 Wrong track: 45% (+3) 🟢 Right direction: 38% (+1) ⚪️ Unsure: 17% (-4) Essential | July 2025 | n=1012 | +/- May 2025

🚨 NEW: "Given the choice between the USA and China, with which country do you think it would be most beneficial for Australia to strengthen our relationship?" 🇺🇸 USA: 41% (-16) 🇨🇳 China: 30% (+16) ❌ Neither: 18% (+3) Essential | July 2025 | n=1012 | +/- Jun 2021

🚨 NEW: Sussan Ley approval 🟢 Strongly approve: 7% 🟢 Approve: 26% ⚪️ Don't know: 33% 🔴 Disapprove: 22% 🔴 Strongly disapprove: 13% Total approve/disapprove 🟢 Approve: 33% 🔴 Disapprove: 35% Essential | July 2025 | n=1012

🚨 NEW: "Thinking about the AUKUS nuclear-powered submarine partnership, which is closer to your view?" ⚪️ Will not affect Australia's security: 41% (-1) 🟢 Will make Aus more secure: 38% (-1) 🔴 Will make Aus less secure: 21% (+3) Essential | July 2025 | n=1012 | +/- Nov 2023

Would you support or oppose amending the law to require all postal vote applications to be sent directly to the AEC [rather than political parties]? 🟢 Support: 75% 🔴 Oppose: 6% YouGov (for The Australia Institute) | 27 Jun-3 July | n=1522

🚨 NEW: Tasmanian government formation preference 🟦 LIB + INDs: 44% 🟥 ALP + GRN + INDs: 38% ⬜️ Unsure: 19% After removal of "unsure" 🟦 LIB + INDs: 56% 🟥 ALP + GRN + INDs: 44% EMRS | 28-31 July | n=601 | MoE ±3.99%

🚨 NEW: Tasmania preferred premier 🟦 Jeremy Rockliff: 43% (-1) 🟥 Dean Winter: 25% (-4) EMRS | 28-31 July | n=601 | MoE ±3.99% | +/- 17 July

🚨 NEW: Would you regard Labor forming government [in Tasmania] with support of the Greens as a "deal"? 🟢 Yes: 56% 🔴 No: 25% Over seven-tenths of respondents who had previously voted for the Liberals regard it as a "deal" EMRS | 28-31 July | n=601 | MoE ±3.99%

🚨 NEW: Polling on the favourability of Tasmanian politicians 🟦 Jeremy Rockliff: +9% 🟥 Dean Winter: -9% 🟩 Rosalie Woodruff: -2% ⬜️ Craig Garland: +3% ⬜️ Kristie Johnston: +12% ⬜️ Peter George: +4% ⬜️ David O'Byrne: +21% EMRS | 28-31 July | n=601 | MoE ±3.99%

Best party to manage the cost of living 🟥 ALP: 38% (-4) ⬛️ Neither/someone else: 24% (+5) 🟦 L/NP: 21% (-3) ⬜️ Can't say: 18% (+3) SEC Newgate | 8-16 July | n=1855 | +/- Apr 2025

Predictions for the Australian Economy In 3 months 🔴 It will get worse: 34% (-12) 🟢 It will get better: 12% (-1) In 12 months 🔴 Worse: 43% (-1) 🟢 Better: 29% (+1) In 3 years 🟢 Better: 47% (-5) 🔴 Worse: 37% (+4) SEC Newgate | 8-16 July | n=1855 | +/- Apr 2025

Feelings toward Australia transitioning electricity generation to renewables 🟢 Positive: 58% (+5) 🔴 Negative: 22% (-3) SEC Newgate | 8-16 July | n=1855 | +/- Apr 2025

Support for increasing property taxes for people who own multiple investment properties 🏘️ 🟢 Support: 64% (33% strong, 31% somewhat) 🔴 Oppose: 20% (9% strong, 11% somewhat) ⚪️ Neither support/oppose: 16% SEC Newgate | 8-16 July | n=1855

With the final results from Tasmania's state election now confirmed, EMRS – which conducted its polls for the Liberal Party during the campaign – has emerged as the most accurate, based on the final pre-election polls

If local councillors take action against religiously motivated intolerance: 🟢 More likely to receive vote: 43% ⚪️ Wouldn't change vote: 42% 🔴 Less likely to receive vote: 5% Combat Antisemitism Movement | 27 June-1 July | n=1000

🚨 NEW: Preferred prime minister 🟥 Anthony Albanese: 45% 🟦 Sussan Ley: 35% Wolf+Smith | 18-30 July | n=5000