🚨Our crisis alert on #Iran #Israel 🚨 crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no…

4/4 In other words, if IRI strategists are working on the assumption that they can find a Goldilocks response that is hard enough to make a point but calibrated enough not to draw a response, well, perhaps it's worth remembering that fairy tales aren't tactical manuals.

U.S. CENTCOM commander Gen. Michael 'Erik' Kurilla has extended his stay in Israel by another day, Israeli officials told me

'Escalation risk': Germany urges its citizens to leave Iran reuters.com/world/middle-e…

Ali is, of course, correct here 👇But I would go one step further.

Let's assume #Iran somehow finds its 'Goldilocks' retaliation that ends the current round of attack-response with #Israel .

A future round of attack-response-escalation is likely for one simple reason. 1/

‘sooner than later’ cnn.com/2024/04/12/pol…

'Two U.S. officials said that Iran has readied more than a hundred cruise missiles for a possible strike... U.S. assets being moved into the region in response could assist with air defense, according to one official.' tinyurl.com/2a4rx4dk

Iran expected to strike Israel in the next few days but not U.S. military, officials Say. Where Iran will target, the scope and details, is information that is very closely guarded among a handful of senior Iranian commanders . W/ Eric Schmitt

nytimes.com/live/2024/04/1…

Lufthansa extends Tehran flights suspension until April 18 reuters.com/business/aeros…

Iran signals ‘calibrated’ retaliation to Israeli strike on.ft.com/4anKwhj

Residents in various cities throughout #Iran have reported sightings of an enigmatic, radiant object in the sky. Speculation suggests a connection to #Russia 's recent high-altitude ICBM test, which occurred despite the missile's path not directly overflying Iranian territory.

IDF Chief of the General Staff, LTG Herzi Halevi, and U.S. Central Command Commander, General Michael Erik Kurilla, completed a comprehensive situational assessment with IDF officials on the IDF’s readiness for defensive and offensive operations in all scenarios.

“The IDF continues to…

UKMTO DAILY SUMMARY

1600UTC 11 Apr 2024 to 1600UTC 12 Apr 2024

ukmto.org/indian-ocean/u…

#MaritimeSecurity #MarSec

Lunga telefonata con il Min Esteri Iran sul MO. Ribadita la posizione del Governo in favore della pace e per la de-escalation. Ho esortato Teheran alla moderazione. Confermata necessità di garantire incolumità forze militari🇮🇹 in Libano e delle nostre navi mercantili nel MarRosso

Experts say Israel's campaign of assassinations is likely to weaken Tehran's network of regional allies in the short-term but warn that the strategy is risky.

With input from Ali Vaez and Michael A. Horowitz.

rferl.org/a/israel-iran-…

🚨🚨🚨Scoop: The Biden administration asked Israel to notify the U.S. ahead of any retaliation against Iran for the U.S. to have a say before decisions are made, U.S. and Israeli officials told me. My story on Axios
axios.com/2024/04/12/ira…

Scoop: Iran sent a message to the Biden administration through several Arab countries earlier this week: if the U.S. gets involved in the fighting between Israel and Iran, U.S. forces in the region will be attacked, three U.S. officials. My story on Axios
axios.com/2024/04/12/ira…

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علی واعظ:
وقتی ذی‌نفعان یک توافق بیش‌تر باشند، احتمال بقای آن توافق بیش‌تر می‌شود. سرمایه‌گذاری عربستان، امارات و قطر در ایران باعث می‌شود روابط…