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Remarkable. Two days ago U.S. was intensely working to garner support to issue a joint ceasefire statement that it THOUGHT the Israeli government was going to subscribe to, based on what Washington was being told. Only to be completely blindsided once again.

Syrians are celebrating in NW #Syria, amid news that #Hezbollah leader #Nasrallah is likely dead. #Hezbollah was responsible for countless months & years-long sieges, in which 1000s died & others were forced to eat grass & animal feed to survive.

I tell Reuters Hezbollah won’t collapse with Nasrallah killed but it’ll be a major blow to the group’s morale & underlines Israel’s security/military superiority/access. Israel wants to translate this pressure into a new status quo but this won’t be swift tinyurl.com/2s3etfsz

Israel has been planning the war against Hezbollah since 2006. This past week has shown how well it prepared. Hezbollah too planned, but it wanted to fight a different war, in different circumstances. Add attrition and intelligence failures to arrogance and flawed

Lebanon is one of the most complex (and beautiful) countries in the world.. A few wise accounts with personal grounding in the country for you to follow amidst hot takes from afar: Lina Khatib Emile Hokayem اميل الحكيّم Michael Young Nadim Shehadi نديم شحاده Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز Kim Ghattas Joseph Bahout باحوط

I think the jurry is out on what US actually achieved.. and the gap between discourse and actual implications have been laid bare..

Just reminds me how feeble perceptions of deterrence could be.. Israel had these capabilities and assets on 10/7 too.. Short term expressions vs long term solutions to insecurities that won’t disappear with military response alone

Hezbollah has just confirmed in an official statement that Nasrallah is dead

🙏

Side note: Assad only matters to Iran to the extent that he serves a regional strategy that seems to be collapsing. I'd be worried if I was him.

Two logics prevail in the aftermath of Hassan Nasrallah’s killing: a logic of resistance and a logic of reinforcing the state and its institutions. The first will argue in favor of pursuing the Unity of the Arenas strategy and the election of Suleiman Franjieh as president.1

I honestly don’t know what to expect from Hezbollah or Iran or even Hamas. What is clear is that the world’s attention now is on Lebanon which has put the Gaza deal and the fate of the hostages on the very back burner. I don’t think that the assassination of Nasrallah will

Hariri condemns the killing of Nasrallah. Hezbollah was behind his father's assassination in 2005, which started this now 20-year long phase of turmoil in Lebanon. Some have argued that Nasrallah himself was not involved but was blindsided by Mughniyeh, Badreddine and co. I find

With Nasrallah dead, what next? - Many unknowns - The way the rship w/Iran will evolve (or not) will be key - At least a part of the Israeli establishment still wants to invade S. Lebanon to re-occupy it (aka "buffer zone") to ensure return of ISR IDPs to the North. 1/

🙏 This.. True downgrading of Hezbollah as a problem for Lebanon and region goes through strengthening Lebanese state and military and support its economic development and advancement of fair and reliable political and economic structures

This is the Iranian version of ‘EU is concerned’ statements

Turkey says Nasrallah’s death is a big loss for both Hezbollah and Iran and Nasrallah’s absence would be felt in the region. “I met him 10 days after the war started in a very tough circumstance. Meeting him wasn’t easy” says Turkish FM Fidan

Claims that Hezbollah member Hassan Khalil Yassin, who the IDF says it has killed in an air strike, had replaced Hassan Nasrallah as the leader of Hezbollah are false. Hezbollah has yet to designate a new leader after Nasrallah's death.

🙏💔