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7:37am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Marginal Risk: across parts of the northern Plains, East, Mid-South, and southeast Arizona spc.noaa.gov/products/outlo…

We’re beginning to see a slightly more organized look to the tropical wave off of the Florida coast this morning. It still resembles more of a trough, rather than a closed or even open circulation, but, there is more convection that is much more consolidated compared to

Looks like we have a recon flight scheduled into the disturbance tomorrow at 18z. I'd imagine we get invest designation soon.

11:37am CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Slight Risk: across the Mid-Atlantic as well as far east-central Wyoming, southwest South Dakota, and the far northern Nebraska Panhandle spc.noaa.gov/products/outlo…

The WPC has maintained the 'Moderate' Risk of Excessive Rainfall/Flash Flooding across parts of the Mid-Atlantic & Northeast regions today. Considerable flash flooding is likely today across the risk area(s), with locally catastrophic flash flooding possible.

#WPC_MD 0685 affecting Mid-Atlantic, #nywx #njwx #pawx #dewx #mdwx #dcwx #vawx #wvwx, wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwa…

Invest #93L has finally been designated on the tropical wave off the Florida coast this afternoon. We're now seeing a more tropical-like circulation with a decent MLC, but still messy LLC. Some wind shear to the north is causing a lopsided structure, but is also continuing to

With the recent evolution of #93L, it's most likely reasonable to expect the NHC to increase development probabilities for this wave in future TWOs. 93L still has quite a ways to go before it becomes a TC, but it's currently the best the wave has looked since it was labeled as

An outbreak of flash flooding is underway across parts of the Northeast this afternoon. Scattered Flash Flood Warnings have been issued with clusters and masses of rain/storms. The flood threat will only increase from this point forward until the rain moves out of the region. A

Tornado developing south of Millersville, MD. Take cover now!

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of South Dakota until 10 PM CDT

A slow-moving complex of storms has made its way through the NYC metro region this evening, and continues to produce flash flooding across the region. Instances of considerable to locally catastrophic flooding are likely within the next 2-3 hours.

The NHC has upped development probabilities on #93L to 30/40% this evening. 93L continues to gradually organize, but will most likely develop in the Eastern Gulf by midweek.

A MODERATE risk is in effect in our Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook. More details: go.usa.gov/cu3Dw

7:53pm CDT #SPC Day1 Outlook Slight Risk: in central SD spc.noaa.gov/products/outlo…

Flash Flood EMERGENCY for Petersburg, VA. Seek higher ground NOW! This is a Particularly Dangerous Situation!

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of Minnesota and North Dakota until 6 AM CDT

Not much progress has been made on the organization of #93L this evening/tonight, and a broad circulation remains evident as the wave approaches the east coast of Florida. We will not see a TC designation before landfall (which was the expectation already, as some models, mainly

The NHC now has 40/40 development probs on 93L this morning. The circulation has become slightly better organized over time, but convection remains very messy around a displaced LLC/MLC that is still battling some wind shear from the north. Better chances of TC development will

Enhanced Risk of severe storms across parts of Nebraska today. This risk is driven by the potential for significant damaging winds. Large hail and a tornado or two will be possible as well.