Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile
Velina Tchakarova

@vtchakarova

Geopolitical Strategist| Chief Strategic Foreseer | I coined #Dragonbear |#geopolitics |#GlobalSystem | #realpolitik | #foresight | #trends | #risks | #RWRI

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linkhttps://foraconsciousexperience.com/ calendar_today29-11-2011 09:15:05

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Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Now it’s the time to remind you that it’s in Russia’s interest to get a ceasefire (ideally, on most favorable terms), because a ceasefire will legitimize Russia’s territorial gains per se without the need for a peace agreement as it happened in the past. Thus, Russia has been in

Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I have been preparing my clients for what’s about to come for a few years now. Get yourself a geopolitical strategist or perish as a company if you don’t understand or care what’s at stake.

Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The big difference is that Russia will continue to make a move on Kyiv, Odesa, etc. Because the end goal is to control the whole of Ukraine. Only if this is not possible, partition will be less acceptable option.

Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

That’s currently the base scenario. No conventional confrontation between US, China and Russia, but a lot of gray-zone warfare under the threshold of kinetic war. In addition, China is applying the “death by thousand cuts approach” to Taiwan instead of predicted military attack.

Michael Every (@themichaelevery) 's Twitter Profile Photo

2025, day 220 Good morning from the U.K. The U.S. reportedly proposed a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire with: De facto recognition of occupied territories, “freezing" the issue for 49–99 years; Lifting most sanctions; Eventual return to importing Russian gas & oil; No guarantees

2025, day 220

Good morning from the U.K.

The U.S. reportedly proposed a Ukraine-Russia ceasefire with: De facto recognition of occupied territories, “freezing" the issue for 49–99 years; Lifting most sanctions; Eventual return to importing Russian gas & oil; No guarantees
Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

It’s interesting that you didn’t mention Bulgaria while this country would be much easier and quick prey than the ones you mention.

Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Wait until you learn that Europe depends 98% on rare earths exports from China. And yet, there is too little of urgency to relaunch production in Europe because it’s not fitting politically and ideologically to the decarbonization agenda. But in the end, something’s got to give.

Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If Ukraine falls, Bulgaria will be the next due to the geographic location, proximity to one of the key global choke points - Black Sea, and mostly because it represents the core of Russia’s imperial agenda of becoming the “Third Rome” based on the origin of language & Orthodoxy.

Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Gentle reminder for my audience how easy it is to fall for the fallacy in thinking: the possession of strategic nuclear weapons make it impossible to attack a nuclear state. The likelihood of China’s attack on Russia’s Siberia without a nuclear retaliation by Moscow is almost 0.