Valuations (@valuations_) 's Twitter Profile
Valuations

@valuations_

And I took that personally.

ID: 730764444775661572

calendar_today12-05-2016 14:19:55

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Seems like a good pop to fade assuming midday Trump admin will announce the tariffs remain in place via Section 123-XYZ yada yada and essentially nothing has changed.

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The market is focused on the near-term and ignores upside potential of $REGN ’s VelociSuite and/or how 23andMe’s database is useful for future development. Pipeline in doubt, but it’s cheap even if you completely dismiss what they’re building over the next decade.

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Regardless of any de-escalation of the kayfabe: -EV credits are dead -EPS estimates are 40% lower than pre-election while stock is 20% higher -Irreparable brand damage -Tariff pullforward for autos in the rear view, demand cratering -Model Y refresh yet to move the needle.

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Pre-revenue story stock acquires another pre-revenue story stock in a 99% stock deal and the acquirer’s stock goes up on the headline. Where have I seen this movie before?

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Genuine question for people who use Technical Analysis: what empirical evidence or resources (books, papers, etc) make you believe it’s a reliable method?

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Why no 8-K? Reuters picked it up but sources are Semafor (whatever that is) and “people familiar with the matter.” Fake news?

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What has 70-90% downside when this risk cycle ends? $ACHR $AFRM $ASTS $CHYM $COIN $CRCL $CRWV $CVNA $HIMS $IONQ $JOBY $PLTR $NBIS $OKLO $QBTS Give me the dumbest momo names you’ve got, please and thank you.

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Vans seeing a 20% decline in its THIRD consecutive year of declines is wild. Similar to Chuck Taylors (iconic casual shoe) but would guess we’re ~3 years from seeing the cycle turn. Maybe comps get less bad from here but can $VFC work on de-leveraging alone?

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-Penny stocks accounting for 1/2 the daily volume -Robinhood margin at record highs -Vaporware IPOs mooning -FinTwit max bullish What could go wrong?

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Telling myself to cut losses, stop trying to bottom tick shitcos and just buy higher after fundamentals show a positive inflection.