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TrendTao

@trend_tao

The below posts are trade ideas that adhere to my methodology for trading. They are not investment advice.

ID: 1514109697254641666

linkhttps://linktr.ee/trendtao calendar_today13-04-2022 05:14:30

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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a “disinflation but not done” vibe. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs. $DXY and $TLT as markets

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 13, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI came in +0.2% m/m, +2.7% y/y; Core +0.3% m/m, +3.1% y/y, reinforcing a “disinflation but not done” vibe. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs. $DXY and $TLT as markets
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into today’s PPI. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs $DXY and $TLT for inflation momentum cues. 🤝

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 14, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 CPI cooldown keeps cut odds alive — July CPI held at +0.2% m/m (2.8% y/y); Core +0.3% m/m (3.1% y/y) heading into today’s PPI. Watch $SPY/$SPX vs $DXY and $TLT for inflation momentum cues.
🤝
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🔥 PPI Shock Keeps Cuts in Question — July producer prices +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 yrs) with broad gains in goods & services. Rate-cut odds pared; watch front-end yields, $DXY, $TLT, and cyclicals.

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 15, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

🔥 PPI Shock Keeps Cuts in Question — July producer prices +0.9% m/m (largest in ~3 yrs) with broad gains in goods & services. Rate-cut odds pared; watch front-end yields, $DXY, $TLT, and cyclicals.
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🔮 Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏔️ Jackson Hole (Thu–Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposium—path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for $SPY $SPX $DXY $TLT. 📝 FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read

🔮 Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 18–22, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

🏔️ Jackson Hole (Thu–Sat): Chair Powell headlines the Kansas City Fed symposium—path-of-rates + growth vs. inflation = front-page risk for $SPY $SPX $DXY $TLT.
📝 FOMC Minutes (Wed): Deeper read
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russia–Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 19, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines

Global markets tread water ahead of Jackson Hole. Asian equities slipped while European futures edged up on signs of diplomatic progress in the Russia–Ukraine crisis, as markets await Fed Chair
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News Jackson Hole in focus; dollar firms. Traders lean ~84% odds of a 25bp cut in September; watch $DXY vs. $SPY/$TLT as Powell risk approaches. Retail baton passes from HD to LOW/TGT. After

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Wednesday, August 20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News

Jackson Hole in focus; dollar firms. Traders lean ~84% odds of a 25bp cut in September; watch $DXY vs. $SPY/$TLT as Powell risk approaches. 

Retail baton passes from HD to LOW/TGT. After
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Market maker been on point with their expectations $SPY $QQQ #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #StockTok #OptionsFlow #Gamma #MarketStructure #Liquidity #SPX #TradeSetup #RiskReward

Market maker been on point with their expectations 

$SPY $QQQ #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis 
#StockTok #OptionsFlow #Gamma #MarketStructure #Liquidity #SPX #TradeSetup #RiskReward
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines Tech jitters spill as Jackson Hole kicks off. Global equities slipped following a tech sell‑off driven by concerns over U.S. intervention in chipmakers, while traders await Fed Chair

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Thursday, August 21, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines

Tech jitters spill as Jackson Hole kicks off. Global equities slipped following a tech sell‑off driven by concerns over U.S. intervention in chipmakers, while traders await Fed Chair
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Friday, August 22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News Powell’s Jackson Hole keynote is the main event (10:00 AM ET). Markets want clarity on the path to cuts and any framework tweaks; the Fed’s own calendar lists the speech and KC Fed confirms

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Friday, August 22, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving News

Powell’s Jackson Hole keynote is the main event (10:00 AM ET). Markets want clarity on the path to cuts and any framework tweaks; the Fed’s own calendar lists the speech and KC Fed confirms
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IWM is looking clean for straddle Rate sensitivity = outsized move risk. ±1.3% setup... it moves that normally in one ATR, imagine on catalyst day... $IWM $RUT #OptionsFlow #FinTwit

IWM is looking clean for straddle 
Rate sensitivity = outsized move risk.  
±1.3% setup... it moves that normally in one ATR, imagine on catalyst day...

$IWM $RUT #OptionsFlow #FinTwit
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🔮 Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 25 – 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Themes Jackson Hole aftermath 🏔️ Powell’s Friday keynote sets the tone. Markets will trade on whether he opened the door to a September cut or stuck to a cautious stance. Expect chop in $SPY, $TLT, $DXY

🔮 Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for August 25 – 29, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Themes

Jackson Hole aftermath 🏔️
Powell’s Friday keynote sets the tone. Markets will trade on whether he opened the door to a September cut or stuck to a cautious stance. Expect chop in $SPY, $TLT, $DXY
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🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines Post-Jackson Hole digestion 🏔️ → markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powell’s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY. Durables

🔮 Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for Tuesday, August 26, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines

Post-Jackson Hole digestion 🏔️ → markets recalibrate. Traders continue parsing Powell’s keynote; the path of cuts into September remains the dominant driver for $SPY/$TLT/$DXY.

Durables
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🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🇺🇸➡️🇮🇳 U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Indian goods (textiles, gems, leather, machinery) starting today — inflation & trade ripple risk. 💻 Earnings spotlight: Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, Alibaba

🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🇺🇸➡️🇮🇳 U.S. slaps 50% tariffs on Indian goods (textiles, gems, leather, machinery) starting today — inflation & trade ripple risk.
💻 Earnings spotlight: Nvidia, CrowdStrike, Snowflake, Alibaba
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🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🏔️ Jackson Hole aftershocks: Markets still digest Powell’s stance; cut odds for September in focus. 📉 GDP revision risk: Growth momentum under the microscope with Q2 update. 🛠️ Labor market cooling?

🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Aug 28, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🏔️ Jackson Hole aftershocks: Markets still digest Powell’s stance; cut odds for September in focus.
📉 GDP revision risk: Growth momentum under the microscope with Q2 update.
🛠️ Labor market cooling?
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🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Aug 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🔥 Fed’s favorite inflation gauge hits: PCE arrives just as markets digest Powell’s Jackson Hole tone. 💵 Consumer under the microscope: Spending & income data reveal demand strength heading into fall.

🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Aug 29, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🔥 Fed’s favorite inflation gauge hits: PCE arrives just as markets digest Powell’s Jackson Hole tone.
💵 Consumer under the microscope: Spending & income data reveal demand strength heading into fall.
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🔮 Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Sept 2 to Sept 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Themes 🏦 Fed focus resumes — Powell & Fedspeak post-Jackson Hole + 🚩 Beige Book Wednesday → markets parse rate-cut odds. 📊 Labor week heavy — 🚩 NFP Friday, 🚩 ADP Wednesday, 🚩 JOLTS Tuesday, 🚩

🔮 Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Sept 2 to Sept 5, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Themes
🏦 Fed focus resumes — Powell & Fedspeak post-Jackson Hole + 🚩 Beige Book Wednesday → markets parse rate-cut odds.
📊 Labor week heavy — 🚩 NFP Friday, 🚩 ADP Wednesday, 🚩 JOLTS Tuesday, 🚩
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🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🏦 Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header — ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Friday’s NFP. 📉 Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss — markets looking for

🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Wednesday, Sept 3, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines

🏦 Traders bracing for a labor + Fed double header — ADP jobs and the Beige Book will steer rate-cut odds into Friday’s NFP.
📉 Stocks drifted Tuesday post-JOLTS miss — markets looking for
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🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book — traders want to see if Thursday’s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown. 🏦 Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX. ⚙️ Productivity &

🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Thursday, Sept 4, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines

📉 Markets on edge after ADP + Beige Book — traders want to see if Thursday’s labor + growth data confirm a slowdown.
🏦 Treasury supply + Fed tone continue to steer $TLT/$TNX.
⚙️ Productivity &
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🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 5, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 🚩 Jobs Friday = make or break. Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, and wages will lock in Fed expectations into September. 📉 Positioning light ahead of NFP — futures choppy as traders square books. 💬

🔮 $SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Sept 5, 2025 🔮

🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Jobs Friday = make or break. Nonfarm Payrolls, unemployment, and wages will lock in Fed expectations into September.
📉 Positioning light ahead of NFP — futures choppy as traders square books.
💬