Global average temperature is expected to rise to almost 2C above preindustrial in the next five years, according to the WMO, with falls in crop yields and more than a third of the world’s population being exposed to extreme heat. People, we are in danger.

“Rising “atmospheric thirst” – also known as atmospheric evaporative demand (AED) – is responsible for about 40% of the increase in drought severity over the last four decades (1981-2022).” (One of the lead authors of this new study 👇)

The website you’ve all been waiting for is here! AMOC Collapse Visualization Tool! See how winters and summers will change with various levels of warming and cooling. You can zoom in to your own town and find out if you le ability to grow food will remain 👍

The disinterest from media for the complete mismatch between NASA satellite data and IPCC climate models is baffling. Many leading climate scientists have published findings on this for years, but I haven't seen a single in depth media item comnunicating this to a wider public.

☀️ A marine heatwave is ongoing in the Mediterranean Sea. This data visualisation, based on Copernicus Marine data, shows sea surface temperature anomalies recorded on 22 June. Areas in dark🔴 indicate temperatures more than 5°C above the seasonal average. #ImageOfTheDay #CopernicusEU

Two very different ways to visualize global warming from 1940 to 2024. The first chart shows ANNUAL average temperatures; the second shows MONTHLY average temperatures.

This important paper passed under the media radar. It analyses a key indicator of the stability of the Atlantic ocean circulation #AMOC, in measured ocean data. It finds that most climate models get this wrong, and thus have an #AMOC that is too stable. agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…

“This finding caught us off guard – melting ice typically makes the ocean fresher. But new satellite data shows the opposite is happening, and that’s a big problem. Saltier water at the ocean surface behaves differently than fresher seawater by drawing up heat from the deep ocean

I support EU commission target of 90% emission reductions by 2040. But, it must be fully delivered domestically. The proposal of allowing ”flexible” offsets (compensate failed reductions at home with investments abroad) is not aligned with scientific necessity, and thus a mistake

Yes, yes… we know people around the world want climate action… the problem is it’s not clear that *support* for climate policy actually translates into meaningful climate policy. New study: “We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to

👀 Here’s what one of the co-authors of this study was just quoted as saying: “We are witnessing a true reversal of ocean circulation in the Southern Hemisphere—something we’ve never seen before,” explains Antonio Turiel, ICM-CSIC researcher and co-author of the study. “While

We’re going to need a bigger scale.. The exceptional mediterranean heatwave continues with anomalies close to 8°C above average. This is around 9 standard deviations above normal. 5 is considered an exceptional, once in a several thousand year event. This is EXTREME.

The melt rate of the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets is accelerating. “Here we present a 31-year (1992–2023) time series of daily satellite-observed surface melt flux for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. The annual meltwater volume in Greenland has significantly

NASA CERES satellites provide the most important data in the world. With another month of data, both Absorbed Solar Radiation and Outgoing Longwave Radiation have reached the highest levels in observed history. Using a 4-year average to reduce 'noise' from natural variability:

“Each increment of regional time-averaged warming increases the characteristic duration scale of long heatwaves more than the previous increment.”

Record marine heatwaves may signal a permanent shift in the oceans Fierce marine heatwaves were recorded globally in 2023 and 2024, and some researchers now believe they mark the start of a fundamental change with devastating consequences for life on Earth

*Extreme heat in the Balkans and SE Europe* Sarajevo, Bosnia set a new July record of +38.9 °C yesterday, July 25th. Turkey has set a new national heat record with 50.5 °C in Silopi—this is also the first time Turkey has experienced more than 50 °C! Report via Climatebook

💡 Spotlight | The late negotiator Peter Betts explains in new book how COPs could be refined. This week, Carbon Brief highlights a short extract from a new autobiography written by the late Peter Betts, who was the UK and EU lead negotiator at various COPs, including 2015’s

Happy Skynet Day

1 in 2,500 year extreme temperatures now occur once every 13 years. This is our world at 1.4C. 2C is inevitable in years. 4C in our kid’s lifetimes. Not terrified? Then you don’t understand what’s happening to the planet you live on & what it means for the people you love.