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“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” – John Maynard Keynes

Wow! time flies when you're having fun! Just noticed my StockCharts.com subscription crossed the 15-year mark... and it speaks for itself. #Quant #TechnicalAnalysis #DataScience #DataAnalytics #Charts #TrendFollowing #trading

barrons.com/articles/inves…

Investors Are Ignoring Two Major Risks to Stocks, Warns Fund Manager Mike Shell barrons.com/articles/inves… Barron's

Global Macro Trends: Extreme asymmetric observations and changes asymmetryobservations.com/2020/06/27/glo…

The S&P 500 sits slightly below at its 200 day moving average

The S&P 500 remains above its 50 day moving average, but it will be interesting to see if it can hold the line this week. $SPX $SPY

The so-called "panic button" indicator, TED Spread, is back down to low levels. The chart tracks the daily TED Spread (3 Month LIBOR / 3 Month Treasury Bill) as a measure of the perceived credit risk in the U.S. economy. It tends to widen during times of economic uncertainty.

Global Macro: Signs of bullish sentiment across the globe asymmetryobservations.com/2020/06/28/glo…

Nothing drives sentiment like the price trend. asymmetryobservations.com/2020/06/28/glo…

Quick Poll: Which S&P 500 ETF will be King of the Hill in five years?

Amazingly, the TED Spread has run through a cycle in just a few months. asymmetryobservations.com/2020/06/28/glo…

I want to share a secret with you about unrelated nonsense asymmetryobservations.com/2020/06/29/i-w…

GS Forecasts Market Volatility Regime To Persist - it is the highest level in 12 years, more probability of a market move to the downside as volatility persists. Lance Roberts Michael Lebowitz, CFA Danielle DiMartino Booth Nomi Prins #Traders #spx Nick Colas & Jessica Rabe (DataTrek) Harris Samaras Mike Shell

Global Macro Trends: Eurozone Economic Sentiment, US Home Sales, Texas Manufacturing Business Activity, and Retail Gas Price asymmetryobservations.com/2020/06/29/glo…

$VOLQ volatility contraction for the Nasdaq

Investor sentiment is highly correlated with realized volatility.

The market is signaling an end to the Fed hiking cycle. Stocks have typically trended up in the months following the end of past Fed hiking cycles, with an average 3-month gain of +8% for the S&P 500 in 5 of 6 cycles since 1982. However, stocks performed poorly when the

ASYMMETRY® Observations for Asymmetric Investment Returns asymmetryobservations.com