Excited to share my forthcoming theory paper with @fierycushman in Cognition. We argue that extortion shares key features with prosocial reciprocal behaviors like cooperation and is therefore likely supported by the same processes. authors.elsevier.com/a/1fMmm2Hx2pivr

Apparently there was a series of Bayesian statistics conferences in Spain starting in the late 1970s, and they had a tradition of cabaret songs about how great Bayes' theorem is

"The idea that one can slowly make progress by studying one aspect of a problem at a time is alien to the kind of critic who has no experience of solving any problems at all" -- Ken Binmore, Natural Justice

🚨New Working Paper🚨 With Toby Handfield & Matthew Kopec We investigate the determinants of compassion fade and the mechanism, by which it operates. Thread below 👇 papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

"it is hard to see how the regular peer-review process can continue to credibly operate in the face of this new evidence about the hidden analytical multiverse"

Toby Handfield presents a framework to explain how social media can contribute to polarization, thereby making us collectively poorer, and proposes regulatory taxation to preserve the public good of an epistemically well integrated social media network. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

I am excited this paper with Toby Handfield and Julian García ([email protected]) is finally out! We study the relationship between the quality of peer review and how we assign journals prestige. The headline: Judging journals by rejection rates makes peer review worse cambridge.org/core/journals/…

"It is quite natural to use rejection rates as a kind of proxy for the quality of the journal, especially in a field like philosophy... [but] this might be a dangerous mistake." A guest post by Toby Handfield & Kevin J.S. Zollman dailynous.com/2023/06/06/rej…

Our systematic review & pre-registered meta-analysis of growth mindset interventions on academic achievement psycnet.apa.org/record/2023-14… and our reply to commentaries is now out in Psychological Bulletin. A (long) thread.

New paper out with Raimund Pils! We propose a new solution to the crises facing the social sciences: removing the discussion sections. We argue that they harm honest scientific reporting and would provide epistemic benefits if outsourced from the standard article. More below!

Forgive me, for I am about to Bayes. Lesson: Don't trust intuition, for even simple prior+likelihood scenarios defy it. Four examples below, each producing radically different posteriors. Can you guess what each does? Revealed in next tweet >>

Terrific essay by Dan Williams - in short, consumption of misinformation is often motivated, sometimes by legitimate grievances. Seeing a lot of *deeply uncharitable* pushback that takes issue with the headline rather than the actual content of the essay.

🚨New Working Paper! Do people find it repugnant when someone profits off another's misfortune, even if they don't cause the misfortune? Across 3 studies we find: - Yes! people punish these types of profits ✅ - This occurs even if there is no intention to profit ❌

“the voice of the generic philosophy paper is defensive, pedantic and judgemental—antagonistic to a reader it does not trust, and of whom it is afraid.” In short, it is unlikeable. This may not matter much in academia. But it’s a serious impediment elsewhere

PhD opportunity! 🥳Interested in game theory, ecology and evolution? Want to make a difference and change how we think about policy-making while spending three years in beautiful tropical Australia 🇦🇺🐨? Contact me to learn more about this fully funded opportunity 😊

📢 JOB ALERT: Post-Doc position 📢 Please join our group, and explore human social behavior on a fully funded 3y Post-Doc position at it-u.at/en. The position is open for people doing lab experiments or modeling. Details: christian-hilbe.github.io/postdoc_positi… Please share! 🚨

royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rs…

Today, people are more likely to pay attention to politically incongruent views than they were in the pre-digital era. Diverse political information is essential for democratic competence, yet online media raises concerns about fragmented information diets. Initially,

People often view grant competitions as a total waste of time when they don't win. But there's some evidence that simply applying has benefits