In which James Wallner and I take various shots at the Senate's famous 'milk precedent.'

courthousenews.com/got-milk-rumor…

quite possible. Obviously we don't know exactly what the indictment is yet.

there is a runoff for the GOP nomination to face Cuellar (two lightly-funded candidates). The Rs took a real run at Cuellar in 2022 and didn't come close to beating him--maybe this changes the calculus in a region that is also moving away from Ds

I get this reply a lot, but folks: statistically, neither probabilities nor margins of error work like this. If a poll says R+1 and has a margin of error of +/- 3%, it is not true that the poll gives both sides an equal chance of winning.

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AP: “Shortly before announcing her Senate campaign in early 2023, Slotkin met with Dearborn Mayor Abdullah Hammoud, the top elected official in one of the nation’s only majority-Muslim cities. The conversation soured when Hammoud took offense at the implication that the…

NEWS | EMILY's List is finally wading into the contentious Maryland Senate primary between Angela Alsobrooks and David Trone.

So far I've seen $450k in broadcast TV spending and another $260k on cable in Baltimore from the pro-Alsbrooks group's super PAC.

Trump campaign, Republican allies sue Nevada officials for accepting mail ballots that trickle in after Election Day

Tabitha Mueller reports:

thenevadaindependent.com/article/trump-…

Scoop: Governor Phil Murphy is ordering a special election to fill Donald Payne's NJ-10 House seat, with a primary on Tuesday, July 16 and a general election on Wednesday, September 18.

newjerseyglobe.com/congress/murph…

Digging into the Muslim vote numbers a little more at @jlpartnerspolls

In the 5 wards called so far with the highest Muslim populations with comparable data, Labour's average vote share went from 70% in 2021 to just 28% yesterday

Frank Pallone is Representative-3 in the Cuellar indictment.

Cuellar is accused of taking bribes to, in part, kill Pallone’s amendment.

Justice Department: Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-TX) & his wife Imelda Cuellar were indicted on charges for participating in two schemes involving bribery, unlawful foreign influence, and money laundering. They allegedly accepted approximately $600,000 in bribes from 2 foreign entities.

New: Rep. Henry Cuellar & his wife will be released on $100,000 bail each following their federal criminal indictment on bribery and money-laundering charges

Well unlike Menendez at least Cuellar isn't throwing his wife under the bus

BIG scoop here — Israel has a civilian protection plan for the Rafah invasion that has been shared with the US. politico.com/news/2024/05/0…

The end of an era for all the JEB!s in the world

NEW HAMPSHIRE. Current State Senate President and ex-US Rep Jeb Bradley (R), 71, announced he will retire this year. indepthnh.org/2024/05/02/rep…

Cuellar also says he's running for reelection.

More here: axios.com/2024/05/03/hen…

SCOOP: The Israeli military has informed aid groups and the Biden administration of a plan to begin removing Gazans from Rafah ahead of an invasion, according to a U.S. official and two other people familiar with the situation. Erin Banco Matt Berg politico.com/news/2024/05/0…

Texas and/or legal experts should weigh in, but if I'm reading this correctly, Cuellar can withdraw from the #TX28 race but his name would stay on the ballot. If he wins, there would be a special election. (Also obviously if he resigns.) statutes.capitol.texas.gov/Docs/EL/htm/EL…

The protestors at Rutgers were trespassing and were in violation of the law. Under no circumstances should the administration negotiate with lawbreakers. This only invites more people ignoring the law.