Bettors are going wild in the Trump Nobel peace prize market, imagine thinking they would wait until 48 hours before the announcement to pick someone and Gaza might have tipped the scales

I’ve been informally polling normies and it turns out most people are utterly unaware that the government is shut down

This year’s Nobel Peace Prize market was fun but I’m already excited for next year, the 2026 Trump pump is gonna be insane

Liquidate your 401k. Predict on Kalshi. Penny jump the order book. Go 50x on SOL. Bet Chiefs ML. Never stop looking at your screen. Optimize capital efficiency. The time is now.

The same legal establishment that says the commerce clause allows Congress to regulate anything (because what part of our lives doesn’t involve money crossing a state line?) is also telling you that sports outcomes can’t be “events” because that would be far too broad, unreal

Pulling up all the posts about today’s Kalshi dumpster fire

When you try to buy your own sell order on a thin prediction market so you cancel it and put a new one in much higher

Just listened to a report that French police “haven’t ruled out any motive” for the Louvre thieves, so clearly the best and brightest minds in France are on the case polymarket.com/event/will-any…

I eat these comments up like candy, keep it coming guys (from “How high will Ethereum get this year?” which is currently on life support)

As a self-described turbo-capitalist I find this idea so bleak that I don’t just hope the startup fails, I hope it leaves such a scar on the lives of the people who participated in it that it serves as a lasting warning to future generations

Dems about to point out the corruption of Trump pardoning CZ in exchange for a Binance deal but then remembering that Bill, Barry, and Joe pardoned so many of their rich friends you could have built another prison just to hold all of them

Yesterday the Mamdani price on PredictIt was about 6% lower than Polymarket or Kalshi, understandable considering the fees but also seems like an indicator of the direction they’re headed, nobody wants their money trapped on a sinking ship