zero hedge will always predict any recessions that happen correctly, because they predict a recession every single day

Employment cost rising, while Chicago PMI dropped to levels usually seen during recessions.

This doesn't look good 👀

The Worst Economic Adviser‼️
Steve Hanke Steve Hanke was one of economic advisers of US president Ronald Reagan. Reagan remembered in recessions & significant income inequality in African America communities.
Steve’s fake inflation stat didn’t work then, and not working now.

Are we going to use the stripper index to predict recessions going forward?

Even more economists predicting and advocating at least two further increases in the Reserve Bank’s cash rate this year - as if recessions are costless to vulnerable people.

Python code: 'The Chicago Fed National Activity Index has an amazing track record at predicting recessions... By plotting three series, we can get a great handle on the current state of the economy.' ai.gopubby.com/how-to-plot-th…

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We're celebrating our 6th anniversary this May 🎂

Through the many wars, recessions, assassinations, bear markets, and upheavals that we've been through, the lesson of history is that we endure!

2/

You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don’t understand that’s going to happen, then you’re not ready, you won’t do well in the markets

The $5 Little Caesars large pizza survived 9/11, two Bush admins, two Obama admins, a 20 year foreign war, a global financial crash, and multiple recessions and expansions...but it didn't survive this nigga Biden. It's Joe-ver this No-Joe-Vember.

Homes will be affordable again. Recessions are healthy
#2024

Chicago PMI Falls to 17-Month Low.

The current level of 37.9 is below the level the index was at for the start of 6 of the 7 recessions that have occurred since its inception.

The issue with these predictions is that they assume that there will be no recessions or geopolitical events as we go forward. How realistic is that?

There has been 4 significant recessions since 1984

But the Costco hotdog has stayed 1.50 through it all

The tokenized Costco hotdogs are such a recent development that it is still pegged to general crypto movements

Even though we are in a terrible micro recession in probably

Investing.com >70% curve inverted = recessions..

I hope this time is different

When will the yield curve un-invert? Will a recession occur and, if so, when?

Inversion of the yield curve is commonly and reliably used to predict recessions. Additionally, the timing of the start of recessions typically coincides with the un-inverting of the yield curve.

'From 1994 to 2023, there was the dot-com bubble, a 50% crash, 9/11, a housing bubble, the Great Financial Crisis (which came with another 50%+ crash), a handful of wars, 3 recessions and a pandemic.
…stock market was up 10% per year.' Ben Carlson

awealthofcommonsense.com/2024/04/30-yea…

I have been told rate hikes, cuts, recessions and the Fed etc since May 2022. Kind of over it to be honest- a bust was always in the cards but with the same outcome and this far in the cycle doubtful. Kalm soos n daggawalm.

You do you and I will do me. Time will tell.

Quality of labour also much less of an issue for small businesses…

..while, in contrast, the ‘outlook for sales’ has, increasingly & slowly, been becoming a concern!

(as it often does into recessions)